2-3 in the latest stored sample.
KANSAS CITY ROYALS · KC
Daniel Lynch IV
Relief pitcher | Age 29 | Bats L · Throws L
Daniel Lynch IV's 2026 MLB stats, pitching game log, and recent strikeout form for the Kansas City Royals. Through 56 appearances, Daniel Lynch IV carries a 4.08 ERA with 56 strikeouts. He averages 1.0 strikeouts per outing (10 over his last 5), a 5.9 K/9. See last-game strikeouts, strikeouts-per-game pace, splits, and next-game context below.
Over 5.5 strikeouts (standard line — nothing quoted yet)
Daniel Lynch IV by game, in his last 10 games
34.3%calibrated projection
Last 10 rate0%0 of 10 games cleared
Calibrated model34.3%our projection for the standard line
Kalshi mid—no live price yet
Where the outcomes landed
10 games · line at 5.5Innings40.0
ERA6.53
K/94.7
Pitches63
Starts10
Recent-form percentages are not probabilities — the calibrated line is this site’s model projection, and the Kalshi line is what the exchange is paying. No book or exchange has quoted this game yet, so the projection runs against the standard 5.5 line these markets are normally posted at. Research only — not betting advice.
Betting Snapshot
the numbers that shape his prop lines
0straight starts with 6+ K
0consecutive quality starts
▲
walks trending up1.3 BB/start last 3
Prop metricLast 3Last 5Season
Strikeouts per start6.3 K/92.32.01.0
Walks per start1.31.40.5
Earned runs per start3.73.60.7
Innings per startavg IP · bar shows floor–ceiling range1.44.0–5.1
Home runs allowed1.71.20.2
Model lean vs the posted market — research only, not betting advice.
Strikeouts O/UOdds N/A
No line posted · proj 1.60
Walks O/UOdds N/A
No line posted · proj 1.03
Arsenal
Per-pitch-type usage and stuff metrics. Season aggregates beside the last 5 outings — divergence between the two columns is the leading indicator that something has changed (velocity loss, command drift, batters adjusting). xwOBA measures contact quality (lower is better for the pitcher); whiff% and chase% are the swing-and-miss signals.
| Pitch | Usage | Season | Last 5 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | Chase% | Zone% | xwOBA | Whiff% | Chase% | Zone% | xwOBA | ||
|
SI
Sinker · 431 pitches
|
33.2% | 11.7% | 31.9% | 42.9% | 0.354 | 27.3% | 18.2% | 53.8% | 0.605 |
|
CH
Changeup · 316 pitches
|
24.3% | 21.7% | 41.3% | 39.6% | 0.384 | 23.1% | 23.1% | 52.2% | 0.279 |
|
SL
Slider · 252 pitches
|
19.4% | 30.0% | 35.5% | 33.3% | 0.224 | 45.5% | 36.4% | 38.9% | 0.103 |
|
FF
4-Seam Fastball · 183 pitches
|
14.1% | 16.7% | 20.0% | 35.0% | 0.366 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 35.7% | 0.000 |
|
KC
Knuckle Curve · 118 pitches
|
9.1% | 15.8% | 29.0% | 44.1% | 0.414 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.1% | 0.050 |
Data via Ball Don't Lie. The "Last 5" column aggregates the player's 5 most recent outings.
| Date | Opp | Result | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | GB | FB | P | TBF | DEC | REL | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEPTEMBER | ||||||||||||||||
| Sun 9/27 | vs CLE | W 3-2 | 5.1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | 76 | 22 | - | - | 3.53 |
| Tue 9/22 | vs CHW | L 11-14 | 4.0 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - | - | 78 | 22 | L | - | 20.25 |
| Wed 9/16 | @ HOU | W 5-2 | 5.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | 72 | 17 | W | - | 0.00 |
| Wed 9/9 | vs ARI | W 5-2 | 5.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | - | 81 | 21 | W | - | 3.60 |
| Fri 9/4 | vs TOR | L 2-9 | 5.0 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | 70 | 24 | L | - | 9.00 |
| SEPTEMBER | Subtotal | 24.1 | 27 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 377 | 106 | - | - | 6.72 | |
| AUGUST | ||||||||||||||||
| Sat 8/29 | @ CLE | W 8-3 | 3.1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | - | 70 | 15 | - | - | 5.81 |
| Sun 8/23 | vs DET | W 11-7 | 4.1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | 59 | 17 | - | - | 4.39 |
| Tue 8/18 | vs OAK | W 4-3 | 4.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | - | 45 | 15 | - | - | 2.25 |
| Wed 8/12 | @ LAD | L 2-4 | 2.1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | 39 | 10 | L | - | 12.86 |
| Fri 8/7 | vs CHC | L 4-6 | 1.2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | 35 | 10 | L | - | 22.50 |
| Tue 8/4 | vs MIN | W 8-2 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | 11 | 4 | - | - | 0.00 |
| AUGUST | Subtotal | 15.5 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 71 | - | - | 6.39 | |
| JULY | ||||||||||||||||
| Wed 7/29 | @ MIN | W 4-0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | 10 | 4 | - | - | 0.00 |
| Tue 7/28 | @ MIN | L 2-3 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | 10 | 3 | - | HLD | 0.00 |
| Sat 7/25 | @ DET | W 3-2 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | 12 | 4 | W | - | 0.00 |
| Wed 7/22 | vs SF | W 5-4 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | 11 | 3 | - | HLD | 0.00 |
| Mon 7/20 | vs SF | W 4-3 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | 15 | 4 | - | HLD | 0.00 |
| Sat 7/18 | vs SD | W 6-1 | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | 26 | 7 | W | - | 0.00 |
| Fri 7/10 | @ BAL | L 3-5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | 11 | 3 | - | - | 0.00 |
| Tue 7/7 | @ NYM | W 16-12 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | 18 | 5 | - | - | 0.00 |
| Sun 7/5 | vs PHI | W 5-2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | 12 | 3 | - | HLD | 0.00 |
| Thu 7/2 | vs TB | L 2-5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | 9 | 3 | - | - | 0.00 |
| JULY | Subtotal | 10.3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 134 | 39 | - | - | 0.00 | |
| JUNE | ||||||||||||||||
| Sat 6/27 | @ CHW | L 1-2 | 0.1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | 12 | 4 | L | - | 90.00 |
| Fri 6/26 | @ CHW | L 1-22 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | 9 | 3 | - | - | 0.00 |
| Wed 6/24 | @ TB | L 3-5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | 10 | 3 | - | - | 0.00 |
| Fri 6/19 | vs STL | W 6-5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | 11 | 3 | - | - | 0.00 |
| Tue 6/16 | @ WSH | L 4-6 | 1.0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - | - | 29 | 7 | L | - | 27.00 |
| Sun 6/14 | vs HOU | W 4-0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | 8 | 3 | - | - | 0.00 |
| Sat 6/13 | vs HOU | L 7-8 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | 13 | 3 | - | HLD | 0.00 |
| Wed 6/10 | vs TEX | L 4-6 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | 17 | 3 | - | BS | 0.00 |
| Tue 6/9 | vs TEX | W 5-3 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | 13 | 4 | - | HLD | 9.00 |
| Sat 6/6 | @ MIN | W 3-2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | 12 | 3 | - | - | 0.00 |
| Thu 6/4 | @ MIN | W 8-6 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | 12 | 4 | - | - | 0.00 |
| Wed 6/3 | @ CIN | W 5-2 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | 15 | 4 | W | - | 0.00 |
| JUNE | Subtotal | 9.5 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 44 | - | - | 4.74 | |
| MAY | ||||||||||||||||
| Sat 5/30 | @ TEX | L 6-7 | 0.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | 18 | 5 | - | HLD | 45.00 |
| Mon 5/25 | vs NYY | L 3-4 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | 8 | 3 | - | - | 0.00 |
| Sun 5/24 | vs SEA | W 8-6 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | 7 | 3 | - | HLD | 0.00 |
| Wed 5/20 | vs BOS | L 3-4 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | 32 | 6 | - | - | 0.00 |
| Sun 5/17 | @ STL | W 2-0 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | 21 | 6 | - | HLD | 0.00 |
| Fri 5/15 | @ STL | L 4-5 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | 20 | 5 | - | - | 0.00 |
| Tue 5/12 | @ CHW | L 5-6 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | 13 | 4 | - | - | 0.00 |
| Sun 5/10 | vs DET | L 3-6 | 0.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | 24 | 5 | - | - | 45.00 |
| Thu 5/7 | vs CLE | L 5-8 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | 15 | 4 | - | - | 0.00 |
| Tue 5/5 | vs CLE | W 5-3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | 14 | 4 | - | HLD | 0.00 |
| Sun 5/3 | @ SEA | W 4-1 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | 17 | 4 | SV | SV | 0.00 |
| Fri 5/1 | @ SEA | W 7-6 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | 25 | 5 | W | BS | 18.00 |
| MAY | Subtotal | 9.9 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 54 | - | - | 3.64 | |
| APRIL | ||||||||||||||||
| Tue 4/28 | @ OAK | W 4-1 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | 20 | 4 | - | - | 0.00 |
| Sat 4/25 | vs LAA | W 12-1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | 9 | 3 | - | - | 0.00 |
| Fri 4/24 | vs LAA | W 6-3 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | 5 | 1 | - | HLD | 0.00 |
| Mon 4/20 | vs BAL | L 5-7 | 1.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | 12 | 4 | - | - | 0.00 |
| Thu 4/16 | @ DET | L 9-10 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | 7 | 3 | - | - | 0.00 |
| Wed 4/15 | @ DET | L 1-2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | 4 | 1 | - | - | 0.00 |
| Sun 4/12 | vs CHW | L 5-6 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | 12 | 4 | - | - | 0.00 |
| Tue 4/7 | @ CLE | L 1-2 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | 13 | 4 | - | - | 0.00 |
| Sat 4/4 | vs MIL | L 2-5 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | 27 | 7 | - | - | 0.00 |
| Wed 4/1 | vs MIN | W 13-9 | 1.0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | - | 37 | 8 | - | - | 9.00 |
| APRIL | Subtotal | 9.4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 39 | - | - | 0.96 | |
| MARCH | ||||||||||||||||
| Mon 3/30 | vs MIN | W 3-1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | 9 | 3 | - | HLD | 0.00 |
| MARCH | Subtotal | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - | - | 0.00 | |
| Season | Totals | 79.7 | 73 | 43 | 39 | 11 | 26 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 1300 | 356 | - | - | 4.40 | |
BB: Walks allowed
DEC: Decision
ER: Earned runs
ERA: Earned run average for the appearance or subtotal
FB: Fly balls
GB: Ground balls
H: Hits allowed
HR: Home runs allowed
IP: Innings pitched
K: Strikeouts
P: Pitches
R: Runs allowed
REL: Relief outcome: save, hold, or blown save
TBF: Total batters faced
Team scoring environment
This connects the player page back to the team scoring profile, which matters when a player is being evaluated inside a moneyline or total bet.
Recent runs allowed with average margin -3.0.
Average actual total 12.5 vs tracked 8.3.
Use this section together with the game log and trend chart on the page: a hot bat on a team scoring well is different from a hot bat inside a low-scoring team context, and the same idea applies to pitchers on teams playing high-total games.
Strikeout outlook today
Team game, player status, and recent strikeout form, all in one quick read.
| Role | Pitcher | Position | RP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Status | Active | Team | Kansas City Royals |
| First pitch | - | Season type | Season |
| Bats / Throws | L/L | Age | 29 |
Daniel Lynch IV's next team game is not on today's slate, so the value here is recent strikeout form and full game-log context. He has a 4.08 ERA and 1.15 WHIP across 56 appearances, while recent games around him have gone 4-1 to the total.
Recent strikeout form vs season
The comparison below keeps strikeouts, innings, and run prevention tied back to the season baseline.
WHIP +0.26 vs season across 5 games.
WHIP +0.30 vs season across 10 games.
Recent ERA split -0.96 comparing road to home.
Recent team scoring 4.6 with O/U 4-1 around this player.
| Sample | Games | IP | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 24.1 | 6.72 | 1.41 | 10 | 7 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 38.6 | 6.76 | 1.45 | 21 | 14 |
| Season | 56 | 86.0 | 4.08 | 1.15 | 56 | 26 |
Season stats
| Games pitched | 56 | Games started | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins / Losses | 6 / 6 | Saves | 1 |
| Innings pitched | 86.0 | Strikeouts | 56 |
| ERA | 4.08 | WHIP | 1.15 |
Split watchlist
Daniel Lynch IV's home/road splits this season: a 4.75 ERA across 31 home outings and 3.79 over 25 on the road.
This is the fastest way to compare home and road run prevention once both samples exist.
| Split | Games | IP | ERA | WHIP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 31 | 51.2 | 4.75 | 1.25 | 30 |
| Road | 25 | 28.5 | 3.79 | 1.23 | 26 |
Daniel Lynch IV — frequently asked questions
Quick answers to the most common 2026 questions about Daniel Lynch IV, drawn from the stats and schedule on this page.
How many strikeouts per game does Daniel Lynch IV average?
Daniel Lynch IV is averaging 1.00 strikeouts per appearance in 2026 (56 strikeouts over 56 appearances).
What is Daniel Lynch IV's ERA this season?
Daniel Lynch IV has a 4.08 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in 2026.
How many strikeouts did Daniel Lynch IV have in his last game?
Daniel Lynch IV recorded 2 strikeouts in his most recent appearance on 2026-09-27.
How many strikeouts has Daniel Lynch IV had over his last 5 games?
Daniel Lynch IV has 10 strikeouts over his last 5 outings with a 6.72 ERA in that span.
What is Daniel Lynch IV's strikeout rate (K/9)?
Daniel Lynch IV is striking out 5.9 batters per nine innings in 2026.
How has Daniel Lynch IV pitched at home vs on the road?
Daniel Lynch IV has a 4.75 ERA at home and 3.79 on the road this season.