Colin Holderman

Relief pitcher | Age 30 | Bats R · Throws R

Colin Holderman's 2026 MLB stats, pitching game log, and recent strikeout form for the Cleveland Guardians. Through 54 appearances, Colin Holderman carries a 2.73 ERA with 50 strikeouts. He averages 0.9 strikeouts per outing (4 over his last 5), a 8.5 K/9. See last-game strikeouts, strikeouts-per-game pace, splits, and next-game context below.

AL Central standings

Tonight CLE @ TB Steinbrenner Field · Mon Oct 12 · 8:00 PM ET O/U 6.5
◆ neutral park · -2% HR · -3% runs · even K vs league

Over 5.5 strikeouts (standard line — nothing quoted yet)

Colin Holderman by game, in his last 10 games

36.4%calibrated projection
Outcomes
L5L10
One bar per game, most recent first
Last 10 rate0%0 of 10 games cleared
Calibrated model36.4%our projection for the standard line
Kalshi mid—no live price yet
0013000121
9/3vs TOR8/29vs KC8/25@ LAA8/24@ LAA8/21@ COL8/15vs SD8/14vs SD8/12@ DET8/9@ CHW8/6vs NYM

Where the outcomes landed

10 games · line at 5.5
50311213+
Innings9.0
ERA5.00
K/98.0
Pitches19
Starts10

Recent-form percentages are not probabilities — the calibrated line is this site’s model projection, and the Kalshi line is what the exchange is paying. No book or exchange has quoted this game yet, so the projection runs against the standard 5.5 line these markets are normally posted at. Research only — not betting advice.

Betting Snapshot

the numbers that decide tonight’s props

Through Sep 3, 2026
0straight starts with 6+ K
0consecutive quality starts
Tonight’s bats3R · 3Lbalanced lineup

TB hitters · 17.8% team K rate

Prop metricLast 3Last 5Season
Strikeouts per start10.1 K/90.30.81.0
Walks per start0.30.60.4
Earned runs per start1.00.60.2
Innings per startavg IP · bar shows floor–ceiling range0.90.1–1.0
Home runs allowed0.00.00.0

Model lean vs the posted market — research only, not betting advice.

Strikeouts O/UOdds N/A
No line posted · proj 0.86
Walks O/UOdds N/A
No line posted · proj 0.51

Arsenal

Per-pitch-type usage and stuff metrics. Season aggregates beside the last 5 outings — divergence between the two columns is the leading indicator that something has changed (velocity loss, command drift, batters adjusting). xwOBA measures contact quality (lower is better for the pitcher); whiff% and chase% are the swing-and-miss signals.

Pitch Usage Season Last 5
Whiff% Chase% Zone% xwOBA Whiff% Chase% Zone% xwOBA
SI
Sinker · 430 pitches
50.0% 12.7% 25.5% 44.4% 0.368 20.8% 45.8% 38.6% 0.396
ST
Sweeper · 290 pitches
33.7% 44.6% 48.5% 28.6% 0.231 55.6% 22.2% 47.6% 0.050
CU
Curveball · 89 pitches
10.4% 36.1% 72.2% 14.6% 0.269 50.0% 50.0% 28.6% 0.014
FF
4-Seam Fastball · 48 pitches
5.6% 28.6% 47.6% 29.2% 0.353 0.0% 50.0% 14.3% 0.231
FC
Cutter · 3 pitches
0.4% - - 0.0% - - - - -

Data via Ball Don't Lie. The "Last 5" column aggregates the player's 5 most recent outings.

Game log

last 10 games · expand for the full season

Date Opp Result IP H R ER HR BB K GB FB P TBF DEC REL ERA
SEPTEMBER
Thu 9/3 vs TOR L 3-6 0.1 1 0 0 0 1 0 - - 22 4 - - 0.00
SEPTEMBER Subtotal 0.1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 22 4 - - 0.00
AUGUST
Sat 8/29 vs KC L 3-8 0.1 4 4 3 0 0 0 - - 15 6 L - 270.00
Tue 8/25 @ LAA W 8-6 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 10 4 - - 0.00
Mon 8/24 @ LAA W 4-2 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 3 - - 21 4 - HLD 0.00
Fri 8/21 @ COL W 9-1 1.0 1 0 0 0 2 0 - - 24 5 - - 0.00
Sat 8/15 vs SD W 6-1 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 16 3 - HLD 0.00
Fri 8/14 vs SD L 5-7 0.2 2 2 2 0 0 0 - - 14 5 - - 90.00
Wed 8/12 @ DET W 6-4 1.1 0 0 0 0 1 1 - - 17 5 - HLD 0.00
Sun 8/9 @ CHW L 3-5 1.2 0 0 0 0 1 2 - - 26 7 - - 0.00
Sat 8/8 @ CHW L 3-6 0.0 2 3 3 0 0 0 - - 16 4 L BS -
Thu 8/6 vs NYM L 6-13 1.0 2 0 0 0 0 1 - - 24 5 - - 0.00
Sat 8/1 vs ARI L 8-12 1.2 2 0 0 0 0 1 - - 26 8 - - 0.00
AUGUST Subtotal 8.0 14 9 8 0 4 9 0 0 209 56 - - 9.00
JULY
Wed 7/29 @ CIN W 6-1 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 12 3 - - 0.00
Tue 7/28 @ CIN W 6-5 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 15 3 W - 0.00
Sun 7/26 @ TB L 0-1 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 4 1 - - 0.00
Thu 7/23 vs MIN L 1-3 2.0 0 0 0 0 1 0 - - 21 7 - - 0.00
Tue 7/21 vs MIN W 5-2 0.1 0 0 0 0 1 0 - - 8 2 W - 0.00
Mon 7/20 vs MIN W 13-4 1.0 1 1 1 0 1 0 - - 14 4 - - 9.00
Sat 7/18 vs PIT W 5-3 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 1 - - 15 4 - - 0.00
Sat 7/11 @ MIA W 4-1 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 11 3 SV SV 0.00
Fri 7/10 @ MIA W 3-2 0.2 1 0 0 0 0 1 - - 13 3 - HLD 0.00
Wed 7/8 @ MIN L 5-6 1.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 8 4 - - 0.00
Sun 7/5 vs CHW L 6-7 0.0 2 1 1 0 1 0 - - 16 3 L - -
Fri 7/3 vs CHW W 4-3 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 7 3 - - 0.00
Wed 7/1 vs TEX W 9-4 1.0 3 1 1 0 0 1 - - 18 6 - - 9.00
JULY Subtotal 10.5 7 3 3 0 5 5 0 0 162 46 - - 2.57
JUNE
Mon 6/29 vs TEX L 3-6 1.1 0 0 0 0 0 3 - - 14 4 - - 0.00
Sat 6/27 vs SEA W 4-3 0.2 0 0 0 0 1 1 - - 14 3 - - 0.00
Wed 6/24 @ CHW W 4-3 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 3 1 - HLD 0.00
Tue 6/23 @ CHW L 1-2 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 6 1 - - 0.00
Sun 6/21 @ HOU L 1-2 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 9 3 - - 0.00
Thu 6/18 @ MIL W 4-2 0.1 0 0 0 0 1 0 - - 17 3 - HLD 0.00
Tue 6/16 @ MIL L 1-2 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 7 2 - - 0.00
Sat 6/13 vs DET W 3-1 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 2 - - 15 5 - HLD 0.00
Tue 6/9 vs NYY L 2-3 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 0 - - 12 4 - - 0.00
Mon 6/8 vs NYY L 5-7 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 1 - - 18 3 - - 0.00
Wed 6/3 @ NYY W 5-4 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - - 16 3 - HLD 0.00
Tue 6/2 @ NYY W 9-4 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 2 - - 18 4 W - 0.00
JUNE Subtotal 7.7 2 0 0 0 4 13 0 0 149 36 - - 0.00
MAY
Sun 5/31 vs BOS L 4-9 0.1 1 2 2 0 1 0 - - 13 3 L HLD 180.00
Fri 5/29 vs BOS W 4-3 1.1 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 20 4 W - 0.00
Tue 5/26 vs WSH L 3-6 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 - - 12 3 - - 0.00
Sun 5/24 @ PHI W 3-1 0.1 0 0 0 0 1 0 - - 10 2 - HLD 0.00
Wed 5/20 @ DET W 3-2 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 2 - - 11 2 W - 0.00
Tue 5/19 @ DET W 4-3 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 - - 13 4 W - 0.00
Sat 5/16 vs CIN W 7-4 1.2 1 0 0 0 0 1 - - 13 6 - - 0.00
Mon 5/11 vs LAA W 7-2 1.0 1 1 1 0 1 3 - - 32 5 - - 9.00
Sat 5/9 vs MIN L 1-2 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - - 16 3 - - 0.00
Fri 5/8 vs MIN W 6-4 0.2 0 0 0 0 1 1 - - 14 3 - HLD 0.00
Tue 5/5 @ KC L 3-5 2.0 0 0 0 0 0 3 - - 26 6 - - 0.00
Sun 5/3 @ OAK L 1-7 2.0 3 0 0 0 0 2 - - 27 9 - - 0.00
Sat 5/2 @ OAK W 14-6 1.2 1 0 0 0 0 0 - - 14 6 - - 0.00
MAY Subtotal 12.1 9 3 3 0 4 17 0 0 221 56 - - 2.23
APRIL
Mon 4/27 vs TB L 2-3 2.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 23 6 - - 0.00
Sun 4/26 @ TOR L 2-4 1.1 0 0 0 0 0 2 - - 12 4 - - 0.00
APRIL Subtotal 3.1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 35 10 - - 0.00
MARCH
Sun 3/29 @ SEA L 0-8 2.0 1 1 0 0 1 2 - - 35 9 - - 0.00
Fri 3/27 @ SEA L 1-5 1.0 1 2 2 1 1 1 - - 27 5 - - 18.00
MARCH Subtotal 3.0 2 3 2 1 2 3 0 0 62 14 - - 6.00
Season Totals 44.5 35 18 16 1 20 50 0 0 860 222 - - 3.24
BB: Walks allowed
DEC: Decision
ER: Earned runs
ERA: Earned run average for the appearance or subtotal
FB: Fly balls
GB: Ground balls
H: Hits allowed
HR: Home runs allowed
IP: Innings pitched
K: Strikeouts
P: Pitches
R: Runs allowed
REL: Relief outcome: save, hold, or blown save
TBF: Total batters faced

Team scoring environment

This connects the player page back to the team scoring profile, which matters when a player is being evaluated inside a moneyline or total bet.

Team recent scoring 5.2

3-2 in the latest stored sample.

Current runs allowed 3.6

Recent runs allowed with average margin +1.6.

Totals context 2-3

Average actual total 8.5 vs tracked 7.2.

Use this section together with the game log and trend chart on the page: a hot bat on a team scoring well is different from a hot bat inside a low-scoring team context, and the same idea applies to pitchers on teams playing high-total games.

Strikeout outlook today

Team game, player status, and recent strikeout form, all in one quick read.

Role Pitcher Position RP
Status Active Team Cleveland Guardians (CLE)
Next game 2026-10-12 Opponent @ TB
Probable starter Foster Griffin Opposing starter Drew Rasmussen
First pitch 8:00 PM Season type Postseason
Tracked total 6.5 Moneyline +142
Bats / Throws R/R Age 30

Colin Holderman is not listed as CLE's probable starter today; Foster Griffin has that assignment right now. This page still gives the latest strikeout form and full pitching log for comparison.

Recent strikeout form vs season

The comparison below keeps strikeouts, innings, and run prevention tied back to the season baseline.

Last 5 vs season ERA +5.70

WHIP +2.08 vs season across 5 games.

Last 10 vs season ERA +9.47

WHIP +1.67 vs season across 10 games.

Home/road lean Better on road

Recent ERA split -2.86 comparing road to home.

Team environment Team total 8.5

Recent team scoring 5.2 with O/U 2-3 around this player.

Sample Games IPERAWHIPKBB
Last 5 5 3.2 8.44 3.13 4 3
Last 10 10 5.9 12.20 2.71 7 5
Season 54 52.2 2.73 1.04 50 20

Season stats

Games pitched54Games started0
Wins / Losses6 / 4Saves1
Innings pitched52.2Strikeouts50
ERA2.73WHIP1.04

Split watchlist

Colin Holderman's home/road splits this season: a 4.76 ERA across 26 home outings and 1.90 over 28 on the road.

This is the fastest way to compare home and road run prevention once both samples exist.

Split Games IPERAWHIPK
Home 26 20.8 4.76 1.63 22
Road 28 23.7 1.90 0.89 28

Colin Holderman — frequently asked questions

Quick answers to the most common 2026 questions about Colin Holderman, drawn from the stats and schedule on this page.

Is Colin Holderman pitching today?

Yes — Colin Holderman's team plays at TB today (Oct 12, 2026). See the status and game total in the next-game card above.

How many strikeouts per game does Colin Holderman average?

Colin Holderman is averaging 0.93 strikeouts per appearance in 2026 (50 strikeouts over 54 appearances).

What is Colin Holderman's ERA this season?

Colin Holderman has a 2.73 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP in 2026.

How many strikeouts did Colin Holderman have in his last game?

Colin Holderman recorded 0 strikeouts in his most recent appearance on 2026-09-03.

How many strikeouts has Colin Holderman had over his last 5 games?

Colin Holderman has 4 strikeouts over his last 5 outings with a 8.44 ERA in that span.

What is Colin Holderman's strikeout rate (K/9)?

Colin Holderman is striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings in 2026.

How has Colin Holderman pitched at home vs on the road?

Colin Holderman has a 4.76 ERA at home and 1.90 on the road this season.

TB lineup — bats he faces tonight

The key matchups driving tonight’s strikeout and earned-run lines. Open a hitter for his splits and prop context.