2-3 in the latest stored sample.
TEXAS RANGERS · TEX
Chris Paddack
Starting pitcher | Age 30 | Bats R · Throws R | Inactive roster status
Chris Paddack's 2026 MLB stats, pitching game log, and recent strikeout form for the Texas Rangers. Through 14 appearances, Chris Paddack carries a 6.79 ERA with 40 strikeouts. He averages 2.9 strikeouts per outing (5 over his last 5), a 6.3 K/9. See last-game strikeouts, strikeouts-per-game pace, splits, and next-game context below.
Over 5.5 strikeouts (standard line — nothing quoted yet)
Chris Paddack by game, in his last 10 games
34.1%calibrated projection
Last 10 rate10%what the game bars show
Calibrated model34.1%our projection for the standard line
Kalshi mid—no live price yet
Where the outcomes landed
10 games · line at 5.5Innings37.7
ERA7.41
K/95.3
Pitches66
Starts10
Recent-form percentages are not probabilities — the calibrated line is this site’s model projection, and the Kalshi line is what the exchange is paying. No book or exchange has quoted this game yet, so the projection runs against the standard 5.5 line these markets are normally posted at. Research only — not betting advice.
Betting Snapshot
the numbers that shape his prop lines
0straight starts with 6+ K
0consecutive quality starts
▼
walks trending down0.7 BB/start last 3
Prop metricLast 3Last 5Season
Strikeouts per start6.6 K/91.01.02.9
Walks per start0.71.01.4
Earned runs per start1.72.43.1
Innings per startavg IP · bar shows floor–ceiling range3.91.0–5.0
Home runs allowed0.30.60.6
Model lean vs the posted market — research only, not betting advice.
Strikeouts O/UOdds N/A
No line posted · proj 1.74
Walks O/UOdds N/A
No line posted · proj 1.14
Arsenal
Per-pitch-type usage and stuff metrics. Season aggregates beside the last 5 outings — divergence between the two columns is the leading indicator that something has changed (velocity loss, command drift, batters adjusting). xwOBA measures contact quality (lower is better for the pitcher); whiff% and chase% are the swing-and-miss signals.
| Pitch | Usage | Season | Last 5 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | Chase% | Zone% | xwOBA | Whiff% | Chase% | Zone% | xwOBA | ||
|
FF
4-Seam Fastball · 343 pitches
|
33.8% | 18.0% | 33.3% | 22.5% | 0.395 | 13.0% | 37.0% | 48.8% | 0.302 |
|
CH
Changeup · 276 pitches
|
27.2% | 28.1% | 37.5% | 17.0% | 0.256 | 31.4% | 37.1% | 38.4% | 0.217 |
|
FC
Cutter · 133 pitches
|
13.1% | 22.9% | 28.6% | 28.6% | 0.198 | 20.0% | 28.0% | 60.4% | 0.150 |
|
CU
Curveball · 116 pitches
|
11.4% | 13.8% | 31.0% | 27.6% | 0.463 | 22.2% | 38.9% | 48.8% | 0.207 |
|
ST
Sweeper · 78 pitches
|
7.7% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 1.3% | - | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | - |
|
SI
Sinker · 69 pitches
|
6.8% | 7.7% | 38.5% | 14.5% | 0.378 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | 0.388 |
Data via Ball Don't Lie. The "Last 5" column aggregates the player's 5 most recent outings.
| Date | Opp | Result | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | GB | FB | P | TBF | DEC | REL | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNE | ||||||||||||||||
| Mon 6/29 | @ CLE | W 6-3 | 4.0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | 68 | 19 | - | - | 4.50 |
| Wed 6/17 | vs NYM | L 1-9 | 4.1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | 60 | 19 | - | - | 4.39 |
| Sun 6/14 | vs ARI | L 3-5 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | 21 | 5 | - | - | 9.00 |
| Sun 6/7 | @ STL | L 3-5 | 2.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | 33 | 9 | - | BS | 13.50 |
| JUNE | Subtotal | 11.1 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 52 | - | - | 6.49 | |
| MAY | ||||||||||||||||
| Fri 5/29 | vs ATL | L 3-8 | 5.0 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - | - | 86 | 22 | L | - | 7.20 |
| Sat 5/23 | vs STL | L 1-8 | 5.0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - | - | 84 | 24 | L | - | 5.40 |
| Sat 5/16 | @ CLE | L 4-7 | 5.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | 78 | 23 | - | - | 3.60 |
| Sun 5/3 | vs PHI | L 2-7 | 2.2 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - | - | 73 | 18 | L | - | 28.64 |
| MAY | Subtotal | 17.2 | 26 | 16 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 321 | 87 | - | - | 8.37 | |
| APRIL | ||||||||||||||||
| Mon 4/27 | @ LAD | L 4-5 | 4.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | 67 | 17 | - | - | 4.50 |
| Tue 4/21 | vs STL | L 3-5 | 4.2 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | 90 | 24 | L | - | 10.71 |
| Wed 4/15 | @ ATL | L 3-6 | 4.2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | 92 | 19 | L | - | 4.29 |
| Fri 4/10 | @ DET | L 0-2 | 6.0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | 96 | 25 | L | - | 3.00 |
| Sun 4/5 | @ NYY | W 7-6 | 4.2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - | - | 88 | 22 | - | - | 0.00 |
| APRIL | Subtotal | 22.6 | 27 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 433 | 107 | - | - | 4.38 | |
| MARCH | ||||||||||||||||
| Mon 3/30 | vs CHW | L 4-9 | 4.0 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | 79 | 21 | L | - | 18.00 |
| MARCH | Subtotal | 4.0 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 79 | 21 | - | - | 18.00 | |
| Season | Totals | 54.9 | 76 | 44 | 43 | 9 | 19 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 1015 | 267 | - | - | 7.05 | |
BB: Walks allowed
DEC: Decision
ER: Earned runs
ERA: Earned run average for the appearance or subtotal
FB: Fly balls
GB: Ground balls
H: Hits allowed
HR: Home runs allowed
IP: Innings pitched
K: Strikeouts
P: Pitches
R: Runs allowed
REL: Relief outcome: save, hold, or blown save
TBF: Total batters faced
Team scoring environment
This connects the player page back to the team scoring profile, which matters when a player is being evaluated inside a moneyline or total bet.
Recent runs allowed with average margin -1.8.
Average actual total 8.4 vs tracked 7.8.
Use this section together with the game log and trend chart on the page: a hot bat on a team scoring well is different from a hot bat inside a low-scoring team context, and the same idea applies to pitchers on teams playing high-total games.
Strikeout outlook today
Team game, player status, and recent strikeout form, all in one quick read.
| Role | Pitcher | Position | SP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Status | Inactive | Team | Texas Rangers |
| First pitch | - | Season type | Season |
| Bats / Throws | R/R | Age | 30 |
Chris Paddack is inactive right now, so this page leans on status and recent strikeout context instead of a same-day pitching call. When he is active again, compare the team total and opponent environment before trusting any strikeout angle.
Recent strikeout form vs season
The comparison below keeps strikeouts, innings, and run prevention tied back to the season baseline.
WHIP +0.01 vs season across 5 games.
WHIP +0.17 vs season across 10 games.
Both home and road samples need recent stored games before the split reads cleanly.
Recent team scoring 3.4 with O/U 3-1 around this player.
| Sample | Games | IP | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 16.1 | 6.71 | 1.68 | 5 | 5 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 36.5 | 7.64 | 1.84 | 22 | 14 |
| Season | 14 | 57.0 | 6.79 | 1.67 | 40 | 19 |
Season stats
| Games pitched | 14 | Games started | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins / Losses | 0 / 7 | Saves | 0 |
| Innings pitched | 57.0 | Strikeouts | 40 |
| ERA | 6.79 | WHIP | 1.67 |
Split watchlist
This is the fastest way to compare home and road run prevention once both samples exist.
| Split | Games | IP | ERA | WHIP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0 | - | - | - | - |
| Road | 14 | 54.9 | 7.05 | 1.73 | 40 |
Chris Paddack — frequently asked questions
Quick answers to the most common 2026 questions about Chris Paddack, drawn from the stats and schedule on this page.
How many strikeouts per game does Chris Paddack average?
Chris Paddack is averaging 2.86 strikeouts per appearance in 2026 (40 strikeouts over 14 appearances).
What is Chris Paddack's ERA this season?
Chris Paddack has a 6.79 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP in 2026.
How many strikeouts did Chris Paddack have in his last game?
Chris Paddack recorded 1 strikeout in his most recent appearance on 2026-06-29.
How many strikeouts has Chris Paddack had over his last 5 games?
Chris Paddack has 5 strikeouts over his last 5 outings with a 6.71 ERA in that span.
What is Chris Paddack's strikeout rate (K/9)?
Chris Paddack is striking out 6.3 batters per nine innings in 2026.