Chad Patrick

Relief pitcher | Age 28 | Bats R · Throws R

Chad Patrick's 2026 MLB stats, pitching game log, and recent strikeout form for the Milwaukee Brewers. Through 57 appearances, Chad Patrick carries a 3.40 ERA with 93 strikeouts. He averages 1.6 strikeouts per outing (3 over his last 5), a 7.9 K/9. See last-game strikeouts, strikeouts-per-game pace, splits, and next-game context below.

NL Central standings

Tomorrow LAD @ MIL American Family Field · Sun Oct 11 · 8:00 PM ET
◆ hitter's park · +5% HR · +2% runs · even K vs league

Over 5.5 strikeouts (standard line — nothing quoted yet)

Chad Patrick by game, in his last 10 games

38.9%calibrated projection
Outcomes
L5L10
One bar per game, most recent first
Last 10 rate0%0 of 10 games cleared
Calibrated model38.9%our projection for the standard line
Kalshi mid—no live price yet
0001241110
9/27vs STL9/24@ PHI9/20@ BAL9/18@ BAL9/17@ PIT9/12vs CIN9/8vs CHC9/7vs CHC9/4@ CIN8/31@ CHC

Where the outcomes landed

10 games · line at 5.5
4041120314+
Innings11.0
ERA3.27
K/98.2
Pitches20
Starts10

Recent-form percentages are not probabilities — the calibrated line is this site’s model projection, and the Kalshi line is what the exchange is paying. No book or exchange has quoted this game yet, so the projection runs against the standard 5.5 line these markets are normally posted at. Research only — not betting advice.

Betting Snapshot

the numbers that shape his prop lines

Through Sep 27, 2026
0straight starts with 6+ K
0consecutive quality starts
▲
walks trending up1.7 BB/start last 3
Tonight’s bats1R · 5LLHB-heavy lineup

LAD hitters · 22.6% team K rate

Prop metricLast 3Last 5Season
Strikeouts per start8.6 K/90.00.61.7
Walks per start1.71.20.8
Earned runs per start1.30.80.7
Innings per startavg IP · bar shows floor–ceiling range1.70.1–1.1
Home runs allowed0.30.20.2

Model lean vs the posted market — research only, not betting advice.

Strikeouts O/UOdds N/A
No line posted · proj 1.02
Walks O/UOdds N/A
No line posted · proj 1.06

Arsenal

Per-pitch-type usage and stuff metrics. Season aggregates beside the last 5 outings — divergence between the two columns is the leading indicator that something has changed (velocity loss, command drift, batters adjusting). xwOBA measures contact quality (lower is better for the pitcher); whiff% and chase% are the swing-and-miss signals.

Pitch Usage Season Last 5
Whiff% Chase% Zone% xwOBA Whiff% Chase% Zone% xwOBA
FC
Cutter · 736 pitches
42.5% 29.1% 35.3% 34.9% 0.341 11.1% 16.7% 54.3% 0.376
FF
4-Seam Fastball · 438 pitches
25.3% 36.5% 32.7% 34.5% 0.264 8.3% 33.3% 39.3% 0.610
SI
Sinker · 410 pitches
23.7% 13.7% 20.9% 38.1% 0.319 0.0% 11.8% 56.8% 0.422
SV
Slurve · 139 pitches
8.0% 20.7% 55.2% 12.2% 0.221 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 0.295
CH
Changeup · 7 pitches
0.4% - - 0.0% 0.698 - - 0.0% 0.698

Data via Ball Don't Lie. The "Last 5" column aggregates the player's 5 most recent outings.

Game log

last 10 games · expand for the full season

Date Opp Result IP H R ER HR BB K GB FB P TBF DEC REL ERA
SEPTEMBER
Sun 9/27 vs STL W 6-4 0.1 2 4 4 1 2 0 - - 26 5 - - 360.00
Thu 9/24 @ PHI W 5-1 1.1 0 0 0 0 1 0 - - 16 5 - - 0.00
Sun 9/20 @ BAL W 3-0 0.2 0 0 0 0 2 0 - - 16 5 - HLD 0.00
Fri 9/18 @ BAL W 6-5 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 9 3 SV SV 0.00
Thu 9/17 @ PIT L 4-7 1.1 0 0 0 0 1 2 - - 20 5 - - 0.00
Sat 9/12 vs CIN W 13-9 1.1 1 0 0 0 0 4 - - 22 5 W - 0.00
Tue 9/8 vs CHC W 4-3 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 9 3 - - 0.00
Mon 9/7 vs CHC W 4-3 1.1 0 0 0 0 1 1 - - 18 5 - - 0.00
Fri 9/4 @ CIN W 10-7 2.0 1 0 0 0 2 1 - - 41 9 W - 0.00
SEPTEMBER Subtotal 7.8 4 4 4 1 9 10 0 0 177 45 - - 4.62
AUGUST
Mon 8/31 @ CHC L 3-17 1.1 0 0 0 0 2 0 - - 21 6 - - 0.00
Sat 8/29 vs TEX W 5-3 2.1 1 2 2 1 1 1 - - 28 9 - HLD 8.57
Thu 8/27 @ NYM W 8-2 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 - - 9 4 - - 0.00
Tue 8/25 @ NYM L 2-3 0.2 3 1 1 1 0 0 - - 18 5 - - 45.00
Sat 8/22 vs ATL W 4-1 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 0 - - 14 4 - HLD 0.00
Thu 8/20 vs SEA W 7-4 2.1 2 0 0 0 0 4 - - 44 9 W - 0.00
Sun 8/16 @ LAD W 6-2 0.1 2 0 0 0 0 0 - - 11 3 - HLD 0.00
Wed 8/12 @ SD L 3-4 0.2 0 1 1 0 2 0 - - 18 3 - HLD 45.00
Sat 8/8 vs MIN W 4-3 1.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 16 5 - - 0.00
Thu 8/6 vs PIT W 5-2 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 1 - - 16 4 SV SV 0.00
Wed 8/5 vs PIT W 4-2 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 2 - - 19 4 - HLD 0.00
Mon 8/3 vs PIT L 3-4 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - - 13 3 - - 0.00
Sat 8/1 @ LAA W 3-1 2.0 1 0 0 0 0 5 - - 32 7 W - 0.00
AUGUST Subtotal 13.9 11 4 4 2 8 15 0 0 259 66 - - 2.59
JULY
Wed 7/29 @ SF L 3-16 2.0 2 2 2 0 2 1 - - 47 11 - - 9.00
Sun 7/26 vs COL W 11-2 0.2 2 0 0 0 0 0 - - 8 4 - HLD 0.00
Sat 7/25 vs COL W 8-5 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 12 3 - - 0.00
Tue 7/21 vs NYM L 0-4 0.1 2 1 1 0 0 1 - - 12 3 - - 90.00
Sun 7/19 vs MIA W 3-1 2.0 1 0 0 0 1 3 - - 34 8 - - 0.00
Fri 7/17 vs MIA W 2-1 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 - - 21 4 - - 0.00
Sat 7/11 @ PIT L 6-7 1.0 2 1 1 0 0 0 - - 18 4 - HLD 9.00
Thu 7/9 @ STL W 8-4 1.2 1 1 1 1 0 2 - - 23 6 - - 7.50
Mon 7/6 @ STL W 4-3 2.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - - 20 6 - HLD 0.00
Fri 7/3 @ ARI W 7-4 3.1 1 0 0 0 0 2 - - 34 11 - - 0.00
JULY Subtotal 13.6 12 5 5 1 3 13 0 0 229 60 - - 3.31
JUNE
Tue 6/30 vs CIN W 7-2 1.2 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 18 5 - - 0.00
Mon 6/29 vs CIN W 5-3 1.1 1 0 0 0 0 2 - - 21 6 - - 0.00
Sat 6/27 vs CHC L 2-8 0.2 2 4 4 1 2 0 - - 30 6 L - 180.00
Wed 6/24 @ CIN W 6-5 1.2 1 1 1 0 3 1 - - 40 9 W - 7.50
Sun 6/21 @ ATL W 9-4 3.0 3 2 2 1 0 2 - - 40 11 SV SV 6.00
Wed 6/17 vs CLE W 9-4 3.1 1 0 0 0 1 7 - - 50 12 W - 0.00
Sat 6/13 vs PHI L 8-9 1.0 5 4 4 1 0 1 - - 39 8 - - 36.00
Wed 6/10 @ OAK L 3-4 0.0 3 3 3 2 0 0 - - 8 3 L BS -
Mon 6/8 @ OAK W 15-14 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 2 - - 8 4 SV SV 0.00
Sun 6/7 @ COL W 12-4 1.2 1 0 0 0 0 1 - - 21 5 - - 0.00
Wed 6/3 vs SF L 0-1 4.0 3 0 0 0 2 4 - - 49 16 - - 0.00
Mon 6/1 vs SF W 16-2 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 15 3 W - 0.00
JUNE Subtotal 18.0 20 14 14 5 9 22 0 0 339 88 - - 7.00
MAY
Wed 5/27 vs STL W 2-1 4.0 5 1 1 0 1 4 - - 61 17 - - 2.25
Fri 5/22 vs LAD W 5-1 1.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 22 4 SV SV 0.00
Tue 5/19 @ CHC W 5-2 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 3 1 - HLD 0.00
Sat 5/16 @ MIN W 2-1 4.0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 52 13 SV SV 0.00
Tue 5/12 vs SD W 6-4 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 7 3 - HLD 0.00
Sat 5/9 vs NYY W 4-3 3.0 2 0 0 0 1 5 - - 48 10 - - 0.00
Mon 5/4 @ STL L 3-6 3.1 7 4 4 0 3 4 - - 64 20 L - 11.61
MAY Subtotal 16.3 15 5 5 0 5 17 0 0 257 68 - - 2.76
APRIL
Tue 4/28 vs ARI W 13-2 5.0 1 2 2 0 5 5 - - 98 20 W - 3.60
Wed 4/22 @ DET L 2-5 4.0 6 4 4 1 1 2 - - 80 19 L - 9.00
Wed 4/15 vs TOR W 2-1 6.2 3 1 1 0 2 2 - - 81 24 - - 1.45
Fri 4/10 vs WSH L 3-7 3.0 3 0 0 0 1 0 - - 50 12 - - 0.00
Sat 4/4 @ KC W 5-2 5.0 4 0 0 0 3 3 - - 86 20 W - 0.00
APRIL Subtotal 23.2 17 7 7 1 12 12 0 0 395 95 - - 2.72
MARCH
Sat 3/28 vs CHW W 6-1 4.1 5 1 1 1 1 4 - - 74 19 - - 2.20
MARCH Subtotal 4.1 5 1 1 1 1 4 0 0 74 19 - - 2.20
Season Totals 96.9 84 40 40 11 47 93 0 0 1730 441 - - 3.72
BB: Walks allowed
DEC: Decision
ER: Earned runs
ERA: Earned run average for the appearance or subtotal
FB: Fly balls
GB: Ground balls
H: Hits allowed
HR: Home runs allowed
IP: Innings pitched
K: Strikeouts
P: Pitches
R: Runs allowed
REL: Relief outcome: save, hold, or blown save
TBF: Total batters faced

Team scoring environment

This connects the player page back to the team scoring profile, which matters when a player is being evaluated inside a moneyline or total bet.

Team recent scoring 5.2

5-0 in the latest stored sample.

Current runs allowed 2.4

Recent runs allowed with average margin +2.8.

Totals context 2-3

Average actual total 7.4 vs tracked 7.5.

Use this section together with the game log and trend chart on the page: a hot bat on a team scoring well is different from a hot bat inside a low-scoring team context, and the same idea applies to pitchers on teams playing high-total games.

Strikeout outlook today

Team game, player status, and recent strikeout form, all in one quick read.

Role Pitcher Position RP
Status Active Team Milwaukee Brewers (MIL)
Next game 2026-10-11 Opponent vs LAD
First pitch 8:00 PM Season type Postseason
Bats / Throws R/R Age 28

Chad Patrick's next team game is not on today's slate, so the value here is recent strikeout form and full game-log context. He has a 3.40 ERA and 1.24 WHIP across 57 appearances, while recent games around him have gone 2-3 to the total.

Recent strikeout form vs season

The comparison below keeps strikeouts, innings, and run prevention tied back to the season baseline.

Last 5 vs season ERA +6.89

WHIP +1.05 vs season across 5 games.

Last 10 vs season ERA +0.65

WHIP +0.45 vs season across 10 games.

Home/road lean Better at home

Recent ERA split +1.02 comparing road to home.

Team environment Team total 7.4

Recent team scoring 5.2 with O/U 2-3 around this player.

Sample Games IPERAWHIPKBB
Last 5 5 3.5 10.29 2.29 3 6
Last 10 10 8.9 4.04 1.69 10 11
Season 57 106.0 3.40 1.24 93 47

Season stats

Games pitched57Games started6
Wins / Losses9 / 4Saves6
Innings pitched106.0Strikeouts93
ERA3.40WHIP1.24

Split watchlist

Chad Patrick's home/road splits this season: a 3.27 ERA across 31 home outings and 4.30 over 26 on the road.

This is the fastest way to compare home and road run prevention once both samples exist.

Split Games IPERAWHIPK
Home 31 55.0 3.27 1.24 59
Road 26 41.9 4.30 1.50 34

Chad Patrick — frequently asked questions

Quick answers to the most common 2026 questions about Chad Patrick, drawn from the stats and schedule on this page.

When does Chad Patrick play next?

Chad Patrick's next scheduled game is Oct 11, 2026 vs LAD.

How many strikeouts per game does Chad Patrick average?

Chad Patrick is averaging 1.63 strikeouts per appearance in 2026 (93 strikeouts over 57 appearances).

What is Chad Patrick's ERA this season?

Chad Patrick has a 3.40 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP in 2026.

How many strikeouts did Chad Patrick have in his last game?

Chad Patrick recorded 0 strikeouts in his most recent appearance on 2026-09-27.

How many strikeouts has Chad Patrick had over his last 5 games?

Chad Patrick has 3 strikeouts over his last 5 outings with a 10.29 ERA in that span.

What is Chad Patrick's strikeout rate (K/9)?

Chad Patrick is striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings in 2026.

How has Chad Patrick pitched at home vs on the road?

Chad Patrick has a 3.27 ERA at home and 4.30 on the road this season.

LAD lineup — bats he faces next start

The key matchups driving his next start’s strikeout and earned-run lines. Open a hitter for his splits and prop context.