Carson Palmquist

Relief pitcher | Age 25 | Bats L · Throws L

Carson Palmquist's 2026 MLB stats, pitching game log, and recent strikeout form for the Washington Nationals. Through 11 appearances, Carson Palmquist carries a 7.71 ERA with 15 strikeouts. He averages 1.4 strikeouts per outing (3 over his last 5), a 8.3 K/9. See last-game strikeouts, strikeouts-per-game pace, splits, and next-game context below.

NL East standings

Over 5.5 strikeouts (standard line — nothing quoted yet)

Carson Palmquist by game, in his last 10 games

9.5%calibrated projection

Outcomes

L5 L10

One bar per game, most recent first

Last 10 rate0%0 of 10 games cleared

Calibrated model9.5%our projection for the standard line

Kalshi mid—no live price yet

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8/4@ PHI7/30@ ATL7/27vs TOR7/24vs ARI7/21@ COL7/18@ OAK7/10vs NYY7/7vs HOU7/4vs PIT7/1@ BOS

Where the outcomes landed

10 games · line at 5.5

4031121314+

Innings13.0

ERA9.00

K/98.3

Pitches26

Starts10

Recent-form percentages are not probabilities — the calibrated line is this site’s model projection, and the Kalshi line is what the exchange is paying. No book or exchange has quoted this game yet, so the projection runs against the standard 5.5 line these markets are normally posted at. Research only — not betting advice.

Betting Snapshot

the numbers that shape his prop lines

Through Aug 4, 2026

0straight starts with 6+ K

0consecutive quality starts

Prop metricLast 3Last 5Season

Strikeouts per start9.2 K/90.00.61.4

Walks per start0.71.20.7

Earned runs per start0.31.41.3

Innings per startavg IP · bar shows floor–ceiling range1.30.1–2.0

Home runs allowed0.00.00.1

Model lean vs the posted market — research only, not betting advice.

Strikeouts O/UOdds N/A

No line posted · proj 0.91

Walks O/UOdds N/A

No line posted · proj 1.01

Arsenal

Per-pitch-type usage and stuff metrics. Season aggregates beside the last 5 outings — divergence between the two columns is the leading indicator that something has changed (velocity loss, command drift, batters adjusting). xwOBA measures contact quality (lower is better for the pitcher); whiff% and chase% are the swing-and-miss signals.

Pitch	Usage	Season				Last 5
Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Chase%	Zone%	xwOBA	Whiff%	Chase%	Zone%	xwOBA
ST Sweeper · 131 pitches	41.9%	29.7%	50.0%	35.9%	0.298	20.5%	43.6%	35.3%	0.396
SI Sinker · 101 pitches	32.3%	7.1%	35.7%	55.5%	0.362	7.7%	23.1%	64.7%	0.488
FF 4-Seam Fastball · 50 pitches	16.0%	21.7%	26.1%	40.0%	0.403	12.5%	12.5%	31.8%	0.244
FC Cutter · 31 pitches	9.9%	26.7%	26.7%	58.1%	0.329	50.0%	25.0%	60.0%	0.419

Data via Ball Don't Lie. The "Last 5" column aggregates the player's 5 most recent outings.

Date	Opp	Result	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	K	GB	FB	P	TBF	DEC	REL	ERA
AUGUST
Tue 8/4	@ PHI	L 0-5	0.1	2	1	1	0	1	0	-	-	16	4	L	-	90.00
AUGUST	Subtotal		0.1	2	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	16	4	-	-	90.00
JULY
Thu 7/30	@ ATL	L 4-5	2.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	-	-	30	8	-	-	0.00
Mon 7/27	vs TOR	L 2-3	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	11	4	-	-	0.00
Fri 7/24	vs ARI	L 2-3	1.1	2	2	2	0	3	1	-	-	41	8	-	-	16.36
Tue 7/21	@ COL	L 7-8	1.2	4	4	4	0	1	2	-	-	36	11	-	-	30.00
Sat 7/18	@ OAK	L 1-15	0.1	1	1	1	0	0	1	-	-	7	3	-	-	90.00
Fri 7/10	vs NYY	L 3-5	3.0	3	1	1	1	0	4	-	-	45	12	-	-	3.00
Tue 7/7	vs HOU	L 3-6	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	-	-	16	3	-	-	0.00
Sat 7/4	vs PIT	L 1-7	1.0	4	4	4	0	0	3	-	-	37	8	L	-	36.00
Wed 7/1	@ BOS	W 10-2	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	1	-	-	16	5	-	-	0.00
JULY	Subtotal		11.5	17	12	12	1	6	12	0	0	239	62	-	-	9.39
JUNE
Wed 6/24	vs PHI	L 4-5	3.1	2	1	1	0	1	3	-	-	58	12	-	-	2.90
JUNE	Subtotal		3.1	2	1	1	0	1	3	0	0	58	12	-	-	2.90
Season	Totals		14.7	21	14	14	1	8	15	0	0	313	78	-	-	8.57

↓ Show full season (11 games) ↑ Show last 10 games

BB: Walks allowed

DEC: Decision

ER: Earned runs

ERA: Earned run average for the appearance or subtotal

FB: Fly balls

GB: Ground balls

H: Hits allowed

HR: Home runs allowed

IP: Innings pitched

K: Strikeouts

P: Pitches

R: Runs allowed

REL: Relief outcome: save, hold, or blown save

TBF: Total batters faced

Team scoring environment

This connects the player page back to the team scoring profile, which matters when a player is being evaluated inside a moneyline or total bet.

Team recent scoring 4.2

4-1 in the latest stored sample.

Current runs allowed 4.0

Recent runs allowed with average margin +0.2.

Totals context 2-3

Average actual total 8.6 vs tracked 8.4.

Use this section together with the game log and trend chart on the page: a hot bat on a team scoring well is different from a hot bat inside a low-scoring team context, and the same idea applies to pitchers on teams playing high-total games.

Strikeout outlook today

Team game, player status, and recent strikeout form, all in one quick read.

Role	Pitcher	Position	RP
Status	Active	Team	Washington Nationals (WSH)
First pitch	-	Season type	Season
Bats / Throws	L/L	Age	25

Carson Palmquist's next team game is not on today's slate, so the value here is recent strikeout form and full game-log context. He has a 7.71 ERA and 1.78 WHIP across 11 appearances, while recent games around him have gone 2-3 to the total.

Open team page Team trends Line movement

Recent strikeout form vs season

The comparison below keeps strikeouts, innings, and run prevention tied back to the season baseline.

Last 5 vs season ERA +3.74

WHIP +0.95 vs season across 5 games.

Last 10 vs season ERA +2.37

WHIP +0.47 vs season across 10 games.

Home/road lean Better at home

Recent ERA split +5.28 comparing road to home.

Team environment Team total 8.6

Recent team scoring 4.2 with O/U 2-3 around this player.

Sample	Games	IP	ERA	WHIP	K	BB
Last 5	5	5.5	11.45	2.73	3	6
Last 10	10	11.6	10.09	2.24	12	7
Season	11	16.1	7.71	1.78	15	8

Season stats

Games pitched	11	Games started	6
Wins / Losses	0 / 2	Saves	0
Innings pitched	16.1	Strikeouts	15
ERA	7.71	WHIP	1.78

Split watchlist

Carson Palmquist's home/road splits this season: a 6.99 ERA across 6 home outings and 12.27 over 5 on the road.

This is the fastest way to compare home and road run prevention once both samples exist.

Split	Games	IP	ERA	WHIP	K
Home	6	10.3	6.99	1.55	11
Road	5	4.4	12.27	2.95	4