NEW YORK YANKEES · NYY

Carlos Rodon

Starting pitcher | Age 33 | Bats L · Throws L

Carlos Rodon's 2026 MLB stats, pitching game log, and recent strikeout form for the New York Yankees. Through 16 appearances, Carlos Rodon carries a 2.67 ERA with 91 strikeouts. He averages 5.7 strikeouts per outing (33 over his last 5), a 9.7 K/9. See last-game strikeouts, strikeouts-per-game pace, splits, and next-game context below.

AL East standings

Tonight NYY @ TB Steinbrenner Field · Mon Oct 5 · 8:00 PM ET O/U 6.5
◆ neutral park · -2% HR · -3% runs · even K vs league

Over 5.5 strikeouts (standard line — nothing quoted yet)

Carlos Rodon by game, in his last 10 games

23.9%calibrated projection
L5L10
One bar per game, most recent first
Last 10 rate50%what the game bars show
Calibrated model23.9%our projection for the standard line
Kalshi mid—no live price yet
8587524657
9/22vs TB9/16@ MIN9/11vs NYM9/5@ SD8/29vs BOS8/23vs TOR8/18@ BAL6/28@ BOS6/23@ DET6/17vs CHW

Where the outcomes landed

10 games · line at 5.5
0001120314351647+
Innings53.3
ERA2.36
K/99.6
Pitches89
Starts10

Recent-form percentages are not probabilities — the calibrated line is this site’s model projection, and the Kalshi line is what the exchange is paying. No book or exchange has quoted this game yet, so the projection runs against the standard 5.5 line these markets are normally posted at. Research only — not betting advice.

Betting Snapshot

the numbers that decide tonight’s props

Through Sep 22, 2026
1straight starts with 6+ K
3consecutive quality starts
▼
walks trending down1.3 BB/start last 3
Tonight’s bats3R · 3Lbalanced lineup

TB hitters · 17.8% team K rate

Prop metricLast 3Last 5Season
Strikeouts per start9.9 K/97.06.65.7
Walks per start1.31.62.4
Earned runs per start1.01.21.6
Innings per startavg IP · bar shows floor–ceiling range5.24.2–8.0
Home runs allowed0.30.60.4

Model lean vs the posted market — research only, not betting advice.

Strikeouts O/UOdds N/A
No line posted · proj 6.24
Walks O/UOdds N/A
No line posted · proj 1.91

Arsenal

Per-pitch-type usage and stuff metrics. Season aggregates beside the last 5 outings — divergence between the two columns is the leading indicator that something has changed (velocity loss, command drift, batters adjusting). xwOBA measures contact quality (lower is better for the pitcher); whiff% and chase% are the swing-and-miss signals.

Pitch Usage Season Last 5
Whiff% Chase% Zone% xwOBA Whiff% Chase% Zone% xwOBA
FF
4-Seam Fastball · 671 pitches
 46.7% 23.6% 25.8% 51.9% 0.383 25.0% 29.5% 55.8% 0.326
SL
Slider · 366 pitches
 25.5% 38.9% 44.0% 36.3% 0.236 47.5% 52.5% 31.7% 0.230
CH
Changeup · 209 pitches
 14.5% 38.7% 46.2% 35.9% 0.285 41.2% 52.9% 30.3% 0.314
SI
Sinker · 167 pitches
 11.6% 23.3% 34.9% 44.9% 0.263 36.8% 47.4% 37.1% 0.306
CU
Curveball · 25 pitches
 1.7% 42.9% 57.1% 32.0% 0.033 25.0% 50.0% 30.0% 0.001

Data via Ball Don't Lie. The "Last 5" column aggregates the player's 5 most recent outings.

Game log

last 10 games · expand for the full season

Date Opp Result IP H R ER HR BB K GB FB P TBF DEC REL ERA
SEPTEMBER
Tue 9/22 vs TB W 2-0 8.0 3 0 0 0 0 8 - - 96 25 W - 0.00
Wed 9/16 @ MIN L 4-5 6.0 4 2 2 1 3 5 - - 102 25 - - 3.00
Fri 9/11 vs NYM W 6-4 6.1 3 2 1 0 1 8 - - 93 23 W - 1.48
Sat 9/5 @ SD W 5-1 5.0 2 1 1 1 3 7 - - 89 20 W - 1.80
SEPTEMBER Subtotal 25.1 12 5 4 2 7 28 0 0 380 93 - - 1.43
AUGUST
Sat 8/29 vs BOS L 0-6 4.2 3 2 2 1 1 5 - - 88 19 L - 4.29
Sun 8/23 vs TOR W 8-3 4.0 2 2 1 0 2 2 - - 76 17 - - 2.25
Tue 8/18 @ BAL W 3-1 4.0 2 1 1 1 2 4 - - 66 17 - - 2.25
AUGUST Subtotal 12.2 7 5 4 2 5 11 0 0 230 53 - - 2.95
JUNE
Sun 6/28 @ BOS L 4-5 5.0 1 2 0 0 4 6 - - 96 21 - - 0.00
Tue 6/23 @ DET W 4-3 5.1 6 3 3 0 2 5 - - 87 22 W - 5.29
Wed 6/17 vs CHW W 10-5 5.0 7 3 3 1 1 7 - - 99 22 W - 5.40
Wed 6/10 @ CLE W 8-4 6.0 4 3 3 1 3 7 - - 96 25 W - 4.50
Thu 6/4 vs CLE W 2-1 6.0 2 1 1 0 3 7 - - 96 23 - - 1.50
JUNE Subtotal 27.1 20 12 10 2 13 32 0 0 474 113 - - 3.32
MAY
Fri 5/29 @ OAK W 8-2 6.0 4 1 1 1 2 3 - - 93 22 W - 1.50
Thu 5/21 vs TOR L 0-2 5.0 3 1 1 0 3 7 - - 95 21 L - 1.80
Sat 5/16 @ NYM L 3-6 3.2 3 3 2 0 3 6 - - 88 17 L - 5.63
Sun 5/10 @ MIL L 3-4 4.1 2 3 3 0 5 4 - - 78 21 - - 6.59
MAY Subtotal 18.3 12 8 7 1 13 20 0 0 354 81 - - 3.44
Season Totals 82.7 51 30 25 7 38 91 0 0 1438 340 - - 2.72
BB: Walks allowed
DEC: Decision
ER: Earned runs
ERA: Earned run average for the appearance or subtotal
FB: Fly balls
GB: Ground balls
H: Hits allowed
HR: Home runs allowed
IP: Innings pitched
K: Strikeouts
P: Pitches
R: Runs allowed
REL: Relief outcome: save, hold, or blown save
TBF: Total batters faced

Team scoring environment

This connects the player page back to the team scoring profile, which matters when a player is being evaluated inside a moneyline or total bet.

Team recent scoring 5.0

4-1 in the latest stored sample.

Current runs allowed 3.8

Recent runs allowed with average margin +1.2.

Totals context 4-1

Average actual total 9.1 vs tracked 7.0.

Use this section together with the game log and trend chart on the page: a hot bat on a team scoring well is different from a hot bat inside a low-scoring team context, and the same idea applies to pitchers on teams playing high-total games.

Strikeout outlook today

Team game, player status, and recent strikeout form, all in one quick read.

Role Pitcher Position SP
Status Active Team New York Yankees (NYY)
Next game 2026-10-05 Opponent @ TB
Probable starter Cam Schlittler Opposing starter Freddy Peralta
First pitch 8:00 PM Season type Postseason
Tracked total 6.5 Moneyline -126
Bats / Throws L/L Age 33

Carlos Rodon is not listed as NYY's probable starter today; Cam Schlittler has that assignment right now. This page still gives the latest strikeout form and full pitching log for comparison.

Open team page Team trends Line movement

Recent strikeout form vs season

The comparison below keeps strikeouts, innings, and run prevention tied back to the season baseline.

Last 5 vs season ERA -0.82

WHIP -0.27 vs season across 5 games.

Last 10 vs season ERA -0.26

WHIP -0.06 vs season across 10 games.

Home/road lean Better at home

Recent ERA split +1.13 comparing road to home.

Team environment Team total 9.1

Recent team scoring 5.0 with O/U 4-1 around this player.

Sample Games IPERAWHIPKBB
Last 5 5 29.3 1.84 0.78 33 8
Last 10 10 52.4 2.40 0.99 57 19
Season 16 84.1 2.67 1.06 91 38

Season stats

Games pitched16Games started16
Wins / Losses7 / 3Saves0
Innings pitched84.1Strikeouts91
ERA2.67WHIP1.06

Split watchlist

Carlos Rodon's home/road splits this season: a 2.11 ERA across 7 home outings and 3.24 over 9 on the road.

This is the fastest way to compare home and road run prevention once both samples exist.

Split Games IPERAWHIPK
Home 7 38.3 2.11 0.89 44
Road 9 44.4 3.24 1.24 47

Carlos Rodon — frequently asked questions

Quick answers to the most common 2026 questions about Carlos Rodon, drawn from the stats and schedule on this page.

Is Carlos Rodon pitching today?

Yes — Carlos Rodon's team plays at TB today (Oct 5, 2026). See the status and game total in the next-game card above.

How many strikeouts per game does Carlos Rodon average?

Carlos Rodon is averaging 5.69 strikeouts per appearance in 2026 (91 strikeouts over 16 appearances).

What is Carlos Rodon's ERA this season?

Carlos Rodon has a 2.67 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP in 2026.

How many strikeouts did Carlos Rodon have in his last game?

Carlos Rodon recorded 8 strikeouts in his most recent appearance on 2026-09-22.

How many strikeouts has Carlos Rodon had over his last 5 games?

Carlos Rodon has 33 strikeouts over his last 5 outings with a 1.84 ERA in that span.

What is Carlos Rodon's strikeout rate (K/9)?

Carlos Rodon is striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings in 2026.

How has Carlos Rodon pitched at home vs on the road?

Carlos Rodon has a 2.11 ERA at home and 3.24 on the road this season.

TB lineup — bats he faces tonight

The key matchups driving tonight’s strikeout and earned-run lines. Open a hitter for his splits and prop context.