CLEVELAND GUARDIANS · CLE

Carlos Hernandez

Relief pitcher | Age 29 | Bats R · Throws R

Carlos Hernandez's 2026 MLB stats, pitching game log, and recent strikeout form for the Cleveland Guardians. Through 2 appearances, Carlos Hernandez carries a 6.00 ERA with 4 strikeouts. He averages 2.0 strikeouts per outing (4 over his last 2), a 12.0 K/9. See last-game strikeouts, strikeouts-per-game pace, splits, and next-game context below.

AL Central standings

Tonight CLE @ CHW Thu Oct 8 · 5:00 PM ET O/U 7.5

Over 5.5 strikeouts (standard line — nothing quoted yet)

Carlos Hernandez by game, in his last 10 games

13.2%calibrated projection
L5L10
One bar per game, most recent first
Last 10 rate0%what the game bars show
Calibrated model13.2%our projection for the standard line
Kalshi mid—no live price yet
22
9/3vs TOR9/2vs TOR

Where the outcomes landed

2 games · line at 5.5
000122+
Innings3.0
ERA6.00
K/912.0
Pitches26
Starts2

Recent-form percentages are not probabilities — the calibrated line is this site’s model projection, and the Kalshi line is what the exchange is paying. No book or exchange has quoted this game yet, so the projection runs against the standard 5.5 line these markets are normally posted at. Research only — not betting advice.

Betting Snapshot

the numbers that decide tonight’s props

Through Sep 3, 2026
0straight starts with 6+ K
0consecutive quality starts
Tonight’s bats3R · 3Lbalanced lineup

CHW hitters · 22.2% team K rate

Prop metricLast 3Last 5Season
Strikeouts per start12.0 K/92.02.02.0
Walks per start0.50.50.5
Earned runs per start1.01.01.0
Innings per startavg IP · bar shows floor–ceiling range1.51.0–2.0
Home runs allowed0.50.50.5

Model lean vs the posted market — research only, not betting advice.

Strikeouts O/UOdds N/A
No line posted · proj 2.00
Walks O/UOdds N/A
No line posted · proj 0.50

Arsenal

Per-pitch-type usage and stuff metrics. Season aggregates beside the last 5 outings — divergence between the two columns is the leading indicator that something has changed (velocity loss, command drift, batters adjusting). xwOBA measures contact quality (lower is better for the pitcher); whiff% and chase% are the swing-and-miss signals.

Pitch Usage Season Last 5
Whiff% Chase% Zone% xwOBA Whiff% Chase% Zone% xwOBA
FF
4-Seam Fastball · 28 pitches
 54.9% 20.0% 20.0% 50.0% 0.638 20.0% 20.0% 50.0% 0.638
SL
Slider · 16 pitches
 31.4% 28.6% 28.6% 50.0% 0.412 28.6% 28.6% 50.0% 0.404
FS
Splitter · 6 pitches
 11.8% 25.0% 50.0% 33.3% - 25.0% 50.0% 33.3% -
KC
Knuckle Curve · 1 pitches
 2.0% - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% -

Data via Ball Don't Lie. The "Last 5" column aggregates the player's 5 most recent outings.

Game log

full season · 2 games

Date Opp Result IP H R ER HR BB K GB FB P TBF DEC REL ERA
SEPTEMBER
Thu 9/3 vs TOR L 3-6 1.0 2 1 1 0 1 2 - - 26 6 - - 9.00
Wed 9/2 vs TOR L 0-11 2.0 3 1 1 1 0 2 - - 25 8 - - 4.50
SEPTEMBER Subtotal 3.0 5 2 2 1 1 4 0 0 51 14 - - 6.00
Season Totals 3.0 5 2 2 1 1 4 0 0 51 14 - - 6.00
BB: Walks allowed
DEC: Decision
ER: Earned runs
ERA: Earned run average for the appearance or subtotal
FB: Fly balls
GB: Ground balls
H: Hits allowed
HR: Home runs allowed
IP: Innings pitched
K: Strikeouts
P: Pitches
R: Runs allowed
REL: Relief outcome: save, hold, or blown save
TBF: Total batters faced

Team scoring environment

This connects the player page back to the team scoring profile, which matters when a player is being evaluated inside a moneyline or total bet.

Team recent scoring 5.2

3-2 in the latest stored sample.

Current runs allowed 3.6

Recent runs allowed with average margin +1.6.

Totals context 2-3

Average actual total 8.5 vs tracked 7.2.

Use this section together with the game log and trend chart on the page: a hot bat on a team scoring well is different from a hot bat inside a low-scoring team context, and the same idea applies to pitchers on teams playing high-total games.

Strikeout outlook today

Team game, player status, and recent strikeout form, all in one quick read.

Role Pitcher Position RP
Status Active Team Cleveland Guardians (CLE)
Next game 2026-10-08 Opponent @ CHW
Probable starter Parker Messick Opposing starter Hagen Smith
First pitch 5:00 PM Season type Postseason
Tracked total 7.5 Moneyline -117
Bats / Throws R/R Age 29

Carlos Hernandez is not listed as CLE's probable starter today; Parker Messick has that assignment right now. This page still gives the latest strikeout form and full pitching log for comparison.

Open team page Team trends Line movement

Recent strikeout form vs season

The comparison below keeps strikeouts, innings, and run prevention tied back to the season baseline.

Last 5 vs season ERA 0.00

WHIP 0.00 vs season across 2 games.

Last 10 vs season ERA 0.00

WHIP 0.00 vs season across 2 games.

Home/road lean Split still forming

Both home and road samples need recent stored games before the split reads cleanly.

Team environment Team total 8.5

Recent team scoring 5.2 with O/U 2-3 around this player.

Sample Games IPERAWHIPKBB
Last 5 2 3.0 6.00 2.00 4 1
Last 10 2 3.0 6.00 2.00 4 1
Season 2 3.0 6.00 2.00 4 1

Season stats

Games pitched2Games started0
Wins / Losses0 / 0Saves0
Innings pitched3.0Strikeouts4
ERA6.00WHIP2.00

Split watchlist

This is the fastest way to compare home and road run prevention once both samples exist.

Split Games IPERAWHIPK
Home 2 3.0 6.00 2.00 4
Road 0 - - - -

Carlos Hernandez — frequently asked questions

Quick answers to the most common 2026 questions about Carlos Hernandez, drawn from the stats and schedule on this page.

Is Carlos Hernandez pitching today?

Yes — Carlos Hernandez's team plays at CHW today (Oct 8, 2026). See the status and game total in the next-game card above.

How many strikeouts per game does Carlos Hernandez average?

Carlos Hernandez is averaging 2.00 strikeouts per appearance in 2026 (4 strikeouts over 2 appearances).

What is Carlos Hernandez's ERA this season?

Carlos Hernandez has a 6.00 ERA and a 2.00 WHIP in 2026.

How many strikeouts did Carlos Hernandez have in his last game?

Carlos Hernandez recorded 2 strikeouts in his most recent appearance on 2026-09-03.

How many strikeouts has Carlos Hernandez had over his last 5 games?

Carlos Hernandez has 4 strikeouts over his last 2 outings with a 6.00 ERA in that span.

What is Carlos Hernandez's strikeout rate (K/9)?

Carlos Hernandez is striking out 12.0 batters per nine innings in 2026.

CHW lineup — bats he faces tonight

The key matchups driving tonight’s strikeout and earned-run lines. Open a hitter for his splits and prop context.