4-1 in the latest stored sample.
BALTIMORE ORIOLES · BAL
Cade Povich
Starting pitcher | Age 26 | Bats L · Throws L
Cade Povich's 2026 MLB stats, pitching game log, and recent strikeout form for the Baltimore Orioles. Through 8 appearances, Cade Povich carries a 4.38 ERA with 28 strikeouts. He averages 3.5 strikeouts per outing (17 over his last 5), a 6.8 K/9. See last-game strikeouts, strikeouts-per-game pace, splits, and next-game context below.
Over 5.5 strikeouts (standard line — nothing quoted yet)
Cade Povich by game, in his last 10 games
25.4%calibrated projection
Last 10 rate13%1 of 8 games cleared
Calibrated model25.4%our projection for the standard line
Kalshi mid—no live price yet
Where the outcomes landed
8 games · line at 5.5Innings37.0
ERA4.38
K/96.8
Pitches76
Starts8
Recent-form percentages are not probabilities — the calibrated line is this site’s model projection, and the Kalshi line is what the exchange is paying. No book or exchange has quoted this game yet, so the projection runs against the standard 5.5 line these markets are normally posted at. Research only — not betting advice.
Betting Snapshot
the numbers that shape his prop lines
0straight starts with 6+ K
0consecutive quality starts
▲
walks trending up2.3 BB/start last 3
Prop metricLast 3Last 5Season
Strikeouts per start7.1 K/93.03.43.5
Walks per start2.32.01.9
Earned runs per start2.32.02.3
Innings per startavg IP · bar shows floor–ceiling range4.53.0–6.0
Home runs allowed0.70.60.8
Model lean vs the posted market — research only, not betting advice.
Strikeouts O/UOdds N/A
No line posted · proj 3.44
Walks O/UOdds N/A
No line posted · proj 1.95
Arsenal
Per-pitch-type usage and stuff metrics. Season aggregates beside the last 5 outings — divergence between the two columns is the leading indicator that something has changed (velocity loss, command drift, batters adjusting). xwOBA measures contact quality (lower is better for the pitcher); whiff% and chase% are the swing-and-miss signals.
| Pitch | Usage | Season | Last 5 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | Chase% | Zone% | xwOBA | Whiff% | Chase% | Zone% | xwOBA | ||
|
FF
4-Seam Fastball · 285 pitches
|
46.6% | 18.4% | 27.6% | 31.9% | 0.250 | 18.4% | 27.6% | 50.6% | 0.238 |
|
CU
Curveball · 137 pitches
|
22.4% | 34.5% | 55.2% | 18.3% | 0.303 | 34.5% | 55.2% | 33.3% | 0.319 |
|
SL
Slider · 80 pitches
|
13.1% | 11.1% | 22.2% | 18.8% | 0.400 | 11.1% | 22.2% | 48.4% | 0.430 |
|
CH
Changeup · 62 pitches
|
10.2% | 11.1% | 44.4% | 21.0% | 0.432 | 11.1% | 44.4% | 33.3% | 0.300 |
|
SI
Sinker · 47 pitches
|
7.7% | 0.0% | 36.4% | 25.5% | 0.456 | 0.0% | 36.4% | 48.0% | 0.397 |
Data via Ball Don't Lie. The "Last 5" column aggregates the player's 5 most recent outings.
| Date | Opp | Result | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | GB | FB | P | TBF | DEC | REL | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEPTEMBER | ||||||||||||||||
| Fri 9/18 | vs MIL | L 5-6 | 3.2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | - | 71 | 18 | - | - | 8.44 |
| SEPTEMBER | Subtotal | 3.2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 18 | - | - | 8.44 | |
| AUGUST | ||||||||||||||||
| Mon 8/31 | @ COL | W 2-1 | 5.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | - | 87 | 22 | - | - | 1.80 |
| Sun 8/9 | @ TEX | W 10-5 | 3.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | 61 | 15 | - | - | 9.00 |
| Tue 8/4 | vs LAA | W 3-1 | 6.0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | 88 | 23 | W | - | 0.00 |
| AUGUST | Subtotal | 14.0 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 60 | - | - | 2.57 | |
| MAY | ||||||||||||||||
| Thu 5/7 | @ MIA | L 3-4 | 3.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - | - | 43 | 14 | - | - | 9.00 |
| Fri 5/1 | @ NYY | L 2-7 | 4.0 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - | - | 77 | 20 | L | - | 11.25 |
| MAY | Subtotal | 7.0 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 34 | - | - | 10.29 | |
| APRIL | ||||||||||||||||
| Sun 4/12 | vs SF | W 6-2 | 6.2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | 97 | 24 | W | - | 1.45 |
| Sun 4/5 | @ PIT | L 2-8 | 5.2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - | - | 87 | 24 | - | - | 3.46 |
| APRIL | Subtotal | 11.4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 48 | - | - | 2.37 | |
| Season | Totals | 35.6 | 40 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 611 | 160 | - | - | 4.55 | |
BB: Walks allowed
DEC: Decision
ER: Earned runs
ERA: Earned run average for the appearance or subtotal
FB: Fly balls
GB: Ground balls
H: Hits allowed
HR: Home runs allowed
IP: Innings pitched
K: Strikeouts
P: Pitches
R: Runs allowed
REL: Relief outcome: save, hold, or blown save
TBF: Total batters faced
Team scoring environment
This connects the player page back to the team scoring profile, which matters when a player is being evaluated inside a moneyline or total bet.
Recent runs allowed with average margin +2.0.
Average actual total 7.5 vs tracked 7.6.
Use this section together with the game log and trend chart on the page: a hot bat on a team scoring well is different from a hot bat inside a low-scoring team context, and the same idea applies to pitchers on teams playing high-total games.
Strikeout outlook today
Team game, player status, and recent strikeout form, all in one quick read.
| Role | Pitcher | Position | SP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Status | Active | Team | Baltimore Orioles |
| First pitch | - | Season type | Season |
| Bats / Throws | L/L | Age | 26 |
Cade Povich's next team game is not on today's slate, so the value here is recent strikeout form and full game-log context. He has a 4.38 ERA and 1.49 WHIP across 8 appearances, while recent games around him have gone 2-3 to the total.
Recent strikeout form vs season
The comparison below keeps strikeouts, innings, and run prevention tied back to the season baseline.
WHIP +0.20 vs season across 5 games.
WHIP +0.06 vs season across 8 games.
Recent ERA split +3.90 comparing road to home.
Recent team scoring 5.0 with O/U 2-3 around this player.
| Sample | Games | IP | ERA | WHIP | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 20.2 | 4.46 | 1.68 | 17 | 10 |
| Last 10 | 8 | 35.6 | 4.55 | 1.54 | 28 | 15 |
| Season | 8 | 37.0 | 4.38 | 1.49 | 28 | 15 |
Season stats
| Games pitched | 8 | Games started | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins / Losses | 2 / 1 | Saves | 0 |
| Innings pitched | 37.0 | Strikeouts | 28 |
| ERA | 4.38 | WHIP | 1.49 |
Split watchlist
Cade Povich's home/road splits this season: a 2.34 ERA across 3 home outings and 6.24 over 5 on the road.
This is the fastest way to compare home and road run prevention once both samples exist.
| Split | Games | IP | ERA | WHIP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3 | 15.4 | 2.34 | 1.30 | 15 |
| Road | 5 | 20.2 | 6.24 | 1.73 | 13 |
Cade Povich — frequently asked questions
Quick answers to the most common 2026 questions about Cade Povich, drawn from the stats and schedule on this page.
How many strikeouts per game does Cade Povich average?
Cade Povich is averaging 3.50 strikeouts per appearance in 2026 (28 strikeouts over 8 appearances).
What is Cade Povich's ERA this season?
Cade Povich has a 4.38 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP in 2026.
How many strikeouts did Cade Povich have in his last game?
Cade Povich recorded 3 strikeouts in his most recent appearance on 2026-09-18.
How many strikeouts has Cade Povich had over his last 5 games?
Cade Povich has 17 strikeouts over his last 5 outings with a 4.46 ERA in that span.
What is Cade Povich's strikeout rate (K/9)?
Cade Povich is striking out 6.8 batters per nine innings in 2026.
How has Cade Povich pitched at home vs on the road?
Cade Povich has a 2.34 ERA at home and 6.24 on the road this season.