TAMPA BAY RAYS · TB

Bryan Baker

Relief pitcher | Age 31 | Bats R · Throws R

Bryan Baker's 2026 MLB stats, pitching game log, and recent strikeout form for the Tampa Bay Rays. Through 65 appearances, Bryan Baker carries a 1.44 ERA with 63 strikeouts. He averages 1.0 strikeouts per outing (2 over his last 5), a 9.1 K/9. See last-game strikeouts, strikeouts-per-game pace, splits, and next-game context below.

AL East standings

Tonight TB @ NYY Yankee Stadium · Wed Oct 7 · 8:00 PM ET O/U 7.0
◆ hitter's park · +12% HR · +2% runs · even K vs league

Over 5.5 strikeouts (standard line — nothing quoted yet)

Bryan Baker by game, in his last 10 games

60.9%calibrated projection
L5L10
One bar per game, most recent first
Last 10 rate0%what the game bars show
Calibrated model60.9%our projection for the standard line
Kalshi mid—no live price yet
0100110011
9/25@ PHI9/22@ NYY9/19vs BOS9/15vs OAK9/12vs HOU9/11vs HOU9/8@ ATL9/2vs NYM8/30vs SD8/29vs SD

Where the outcomes landed

10 games · line at 5.5
5051+
Innings10.3
ERA0.00
K/94.4
Pitches14
Starts10

Recent-form percentages are not probabilities — the calibrated line is this site’s model projection, and the Kalshi line is what the exchange is paying. No book or exchange has quoted this game yet, so the projection runs against the standard 5.5 line these markets are normally posted at. Research only — not betting advice.

Betting Snapshot

the numbers that decide tonight’s props

Through Sep 25, 2026
0straight starts with 6+ K
0consecutive quality starts
Tonight’s bats2R · 4LLHB-heavy lineup

NYY hitters · 23.2% team K rate

Prop metricLast 3Last 5Season
Strikeouts per start9.3 K/90.30.41.0
Walks per start0.30.20.3
Earned runs per start0.00.00.1
Innings per startavg IP · bar shows floor–ceiling range1.01.0–1.1
Home runs allowed0.00.00.1

Model lean vs the posted market — research only, not betting advice.

Strikeouts O/UOdds N/A
No line posted · proj 0.64
Walks O/UOdds N/A
No line posted · proj 0.25

Arsenal

Per-pitch-type usage and stuff metrics. Season aggregates beside the last 5 outings — divergence between the two columns is the leading indicator that something has changed (velocity loss, command drift, batters adjusting). xwOBA measures contact quality (lower is better for the pitcher); whiff% and chase% are the swing-and-miss signals.

Pitch Usage Season Last 5
Whiff% Chase% Zone% xwOBA Whiff% Chase% Zone% xwOBA
FF
4-Seam Fastball · 496 pitches
 52.2% 20.4% 30.6% 41.3% 0.304 23.1% 15.4% 73.0% 0.213
CH
Changeup · 420 pitches
 44.2% 29.9% 41.4% 32.4% 0.267 21.4% 42.9% 51.4% 0.262
SL
Slider · 32 pitches
 3.4% 28.6% 28.6% 18.8% 0.276 - - - -
FC
Cutter · 2 pitches
 0.2% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% - - - - -

Data via Ball Don't Lie. The "Last 5" column aggregates the player's 5 most recent outings.

Game log

last 10 games · expand for the full season

Date Opp Result IP H R ER HR BB K GB FB P TBF DEC REL ERA
SEPTEMBER
Fri 9/25 @ PHI W 2-0 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 11 3 SV SV 0.00
Tue 9/22 @ NYY W 6-1 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 1 - - 20 5 - - 0.00
Sat 9/19 vs BOS W 2-1 1.0 2 0 0 0 0 0 - - 20 4 W - 0.00
Tue 9/15 vs OAK W 2-1 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 7 3 W - 0.00
Sat 9/12 vs HOU W 3-2 1.1 1 0 0 0 0 1 - - 20 5 SV SV 0.00
Fri 9/11 vs HOU W 3-1 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 1 - - 15 4 W - 0.00
Tue 9/8 @ ATL W 7-1 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 9 3 - - 0.00
Fri 9/4 @ TEX W 7-6 0.0 0 1 1 0 2 0 - - 15 2 - - -
Wed 9/2 vs NYM L 4-10 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 0 - - 19 5 - - 0.00
SEPTEMBER Subtotal 8.1 5 1 1 0 5 3 0 0 136 34 - - 1.11
AUGUST
Sun 8/30 vs SD W 5-4 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 7 2 - - 0.00
Sat 8/29 vs SD W 7-6 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 1 - - 16 4 SV SV 0.00
Mon 8/24 @ DET W 4-1 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 2 - - 16 5 SV SV 0.00
Sun 8/23 @ BAL W 3-1 1.0 1 1 1 1 0 0 - - 12 5 SV SV 9.00
Sat 8/22 @ BAL L 2-3 0.0 1 1 0 0 0 0 - - 5 1 L - -
Wed 8/19 vs TOR W 7-6 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 18 4 SV SV 0.00
Mon 8/17 vs BAL W 7-6 1.2 1 0 0 0 0 2 - - 21 6 SV SV 0.00
Sat 8/15 vs BAL L 3-4 1.0 2 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 17 6 L - 0.00
Sat 8/8 @ SEA W 3-2 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 - - 9 3 SV SV 0.00
Fri 8/7 @ SEA W 2-1 1.0 1 1 1 1 0 3 - - 15 4 SV SV 9.00
Tue 8/4 @ COL W 9-7 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - - 13 3 SV SV 0.00
Sat 8/1 vs CHW W 1-0 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 6 3 SV SV 0.00
AUGUST Subtotal 11.2 8 4 2 2 2 15 0 0 155 46 - - 1.61
JULY
Thu 7/30 vs TEX W 3-2 1.0 0 0 0 0 2 2 - - 30 5 SV SV 0.00
Wed 7/29 vs TEX W 3-0 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 - - 20 4 SV SV 0.00
Sun 7/26 vs CLE W 1-0 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 1 - - 28 4 SV SV 0.00
Sat 7/25 vs CLE W 3-0 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 - - 14 4 SV SV 0.00
Wed 7/22 @ TOR W 4-2 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 9 3 SV SV 0.00
Mon 7/20 @ TOR W 7-1 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 0 - - 16 4 - - 0.00
Wed 7/8 vs NYY W 3-0 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 3 - - 16 4 SV SV 0.00
Tue 7/7 vs NYY W 6-4 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 - - 14 4 SV SV 0.00
Fri 7/3 @ HOU W 3-1 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 12 3 SV SV 0.00
Thu 7/2 @ KC W 5-2 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 8 3 SV SV 0.00
JULY Subtotal 10.0 5 0 0 0 4 10 0 0 167 38 - - 0.00
JUNE
Sat 6/27 vs ARI W 4-2 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 10 3 SV SV 0.00
Wed 6/24 vs KC W 5-3 1.0 1 1 1 1 0 2 - - 17 4 SV SV 9.00
Sun 6/21 vs WSH W 4-3 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 19 3 - HLD 0.00
Fri 6/19 vs WSH W 5-2 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 13 3 SV SV 0.00
Sun 6/14 @ LAA W 8-3 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - - 14 4 - - 0.00
Tue 6/9 vs BOS W 4-3 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 13 3 SV SV 0.00
Mon 6/8 vs BOS W 3-1 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 - - 12 4 SV SV 0.00
Tue 6/2 vs DET L 0-8 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 13 3 - - 0.00
JUNE Subtotal 8.0 2 1 1 1 0 6 0 0 111 27 - - 1.13
MAY
Sun 5/31 vs LAA W 5-2 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 - - 11 4 SV SV 0.00
Fri 5/29 vs LAA W 8-5 1.0 1 0 0 0 2 2 - - 31 6 SV SV 0.00
Mon 5/25 @ BAL L 7-9 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 12 3 - - 0.00
Fri 5/22 @ NYY W 4-2 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 1 - - 19 4 SV SV 0.00
Tue 5/19 vs BAL W 4-1 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 10 3 SV SV 0.00
Sun 5/17 vs MIA W 6-3 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 - - 10 4 SV SV 0.00
Sat 5/16 vs MIA L 5-10 1.0 2 1 1 0 0 3 - - 18 5 - - 9.00
Wed 5/13 @ TOR L 3-5 0.2 0 1 1 0 4 1 - - 27 6 - BS 45.00
Mon 5/11 @ TOR W 8-5 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - - 11 3 SV SV 0.00
Sun 5/10 @ BOS W 4-1 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 1 - - 15 5 SV SV 0.00
Wed 5/6 vs TOR W 3-0 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 17 3 - - 0.00
Mon 5/4 vs TOR W 5-1 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 3 1 SV SV 0.00
Sun 5/3 vs SF W 2-1 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 11 3 - - 0.00
Fri 5/1 vs SF W 3-0 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 12 3 SV SV 0.00
MAY Subtotal 12.3 6 2 2 0 8 16 0 0 207 53 - - 1.46
APRIL
Mon 4/27 @ CLE W 3-2 1.0 2 0 0 0 0 2 - - 23 5 SV SV 0.00
Sun 4/26 vs MIN W 4-2 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 16 3 SV SV 0.00
Fri 4/24 vs MIN W 6-2 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 18 3 SV SV 0.00
Sat 4/18 @ PIT W 8-7 1.0 2 1 1 0 1 2 - - 31 6 - BS 9.00
Thu 4/16 @ CHW W 5-3 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 0 - - 20 4 SV SV 0.00
Tue 4/14 @ CHW W 8-5 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 6 - - - 0.00
Sat 4/11 vs NYY W 5-4 1.0 2 2 2 0 1 0 - - 20 6 - BS 18.00
Fri 4/10 vs NYY W 5-3 1.0 2 0 0 0 0 1 - - 16 5 SV SV 0.00
Mon 4/6 vs CHC W 6-4 1.0 1 1 1 1 0 2 - - 14 4 SV SV 9.00
Sun 4/5 @ MIN W 4-1 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - - 14 3 W - 0.00
APRIL Subtotal 9.1 9 4 4 1 3 11 0 0 178 39 - - 3.96
MARCH
Sun 3/29 @ STL W 11-7 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 10 3 - - 0.00
Sat 3/28 @ STL L 5-6 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - - 13 3 - - 0.00
MARCH Subtotal 2.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 23 6 - - 0.00
Season Totals 60.7 35 12 10 4 22 63 0 0 977 243 - - 1.48
BB: Walks allowed
DEC: Decision
ER: Earned runs
ERA: Earned run average for the appearance or subtotal
FB: Fly balls
GB: Ground balls
H: Hits allowed
HR: Home runs allowed
IP: Innings pitched
K: Strikeouts
P: Pitches
R: Runs allowed
REL: Relief outcome: save, hold, or blown save
TBF: Total batters faced

Team scoring environment

This connects the player page back to the team scoring profile, which matters when a player is being evaluated inside a moneyline or total bet.

Team recent scoring 4.6

2-3 in the latest stored sample.

Current runs allowed 4.6

Recent runs allowed with average margin +0.0.

Totals context 4-1

Average actual total 7.0 vs tracked 6.7.

Use this section together with the game log and trend chart on the page: a hot bat on a team scoring well is different from a hot bat inside a low-scoring team context, and the same idea applies to pitchers on teams playing high-total games.

Strikeout outlook today

Team game, player status, and recent strikeout form, all in one quick read.

Role Pitcher Position RP
Status Active Team Tampa Bay Rays (TB)
Next game 2026-10-07 Opponent @ NYY
Probable starter Nick Martinez Opposing starter Max Fried
First pitch 8:00 PM Season type Postseason
Tracked total 7.0 Moneyline +148
Bats / Throws R/R Age 31

Bryan Baker is not listed as TB's probable starter today; Nick Martinez has that assignment right now. This page still gives the latest strikeout form and full pitching log for comparison.

Open team page Team trends Line movement

Recent strikeout form vs season

The comparison below keeps strikeouts, innings, and run prevention tied back to the season baseline.

Last 5 vs season ERA -1.44

WHIP +0.07 vs season across 5 games.

Last 10 vs season ERA -0.45

WHIP +0.18 vs season across 10 games.

Home/road lean Better at home

Recent ERA split +0.73 comparing road to home.

Team environment Team total 7.0

Recent team scoring 4.6 with O/U 4-1 around this player.

Sample Games IPERAWHIPKBB
Last 5 5 5.1 0.00 0.98 2 1
Last 10 10 9.1 0.99 1.10 4 5
Season 65 62.1 1.44 0.91 63 22

Season stats

Games pitched65Games started0
Wins / Losses4 / 2Saves41
Innings pitched62.1Strikeouts63
ERA1.44WHIP0.91

Split watchlist

Bryan Baker's home/road splits this season: a 1.20 ERA across 38 home outings and 1.93 over 27 on the road.

This is the fastest way to compare home and road run prevention once both samples exist.

Split Games IPERAWHIPK
Home 38 37.4 1.20 0.88 36
Road 27 23.3 1.93 1.03 27

Bryan Baker — frequently asked questions

Quick answers to the most common 2026 questions about Bryan Baker, drawn from the stats and schedule on this page.

Is Bryan Baker pitching today?

Yes — Bryan Baker's team plays at NYY today (Oct 7, 2026). See the status and game total in the next-game card above.

How many strikeouts per game does Bryan Baker average?

Bryan Baker is averaging 0.97 strikeouts per appearance in 2026 (63 strikeouts over 65 appearances).

What is Bryan Baker's ERA this season?

Bryan Baker has a 1.44 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP in 2026.

How many strikeouts did Bryan Baker have in his last game?

Bryan Baker recorded 0 strikeouts in his most recent appearance on 2026-09-25.

How many strikeouts has Bryan Baker had over his last 5 games?

Bryan Baker has 2 strikeouts over his last 5 outings with a 0.00 ERA in that span.

What is Bryan Baker's strikeout rate (K/9)?

Bryan Baker is striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings in 2026.

How has Bryan Baker pitched at home vs on the road?

Bryan Baker has a 1.20 ERA at home and 1.93 on the road this season.

NYY lineup — bats he faces tonight

The key matchups driving tonight’s strikeout and earned-run lines. Open a hitter for his splits and prop context.