ATLANTA BRAVES · ATL

Bailey Falter

Relief pitcher | Age 29 | Bats R · Throws L

Bailey Falter's 2026 MLB stats, pitching game log, and recent strikeout form for the Atlanta Braves. Through 7 appearances, Bailey Falter carries a 10.38 ERA with 8 strikeouts. He averages 1.1 strikeouts per outing (4 over his last 5), a 5.5 K/9. See last-game strikeouts, strikeouts-per-game pace, splits, and next-game context below.

NL East standings

Tomorrow ATL @ LAD Dodger Stadium · Fri Oct 9 · 8:00 PM ET
◆ neutral park · +3% HR · -2% runs · +1% K vs league

Over 5.5 strikeouts (standard line — nothing quoted yet)

Bailey Falter by game, in his last 10 games

34.0%calibrated projection
L5L10
One bar per game, most recent first
Last 10 rate0%what the game bars show
Calibrated model34.0%our projection for the standard line
Kalshi mid—no live price yet
1102004
9/13vs PHI9/9vs TB5/26vs NYY5/19vs BOS5/16@ STL4/1vs MIN3/27@ ATL

Where the outcomes landed

7 games · line at 5.5
3021120314+
Innings13.0
ERA10.38
K/95.5
Pitches31
Starts7

Recent-form percentages are not probabilities — the calibrated line is this site’s model projection, and the Kalshi line is what the exchange is paying. No book or exchange has quoted this game yet, so the projection runs against the standard 5.5 line these markets are normally posted at. Research only — not betting advice.

Betting Snapshot

the numbers that shape his prop lines

Through Sep 13, 2026
0straight starts with 6+ K
0consecutive quality starts
▼
walks trending down0.0 BB/start last 3
Tonight’s bats1R · 5LLHB-heavy lineup

LAD hitters · 22.6% team K rate

Prop metricLast 3Last 5Season
Strikeouts per start5.9 K/90.70.81.1
Walks per start0.00.80.9
Earned runs per start2.32.02.1
Innings per startavg IP · bar shows floor–ceiling range1.81.1–2.1
Home runs allowed1.00.60.6

Model lean vs the posted market — research only, not betting advice.

Strikeouts O/UOdds N/A
No line posted · proj 0.94
Walks O/UOdds N/A
No line posted · proj 0.82

Arsenal

Per-pitch-type usage and stuff metrics. Season aggregates beside the last 5 outings — divergence between the two columns is the leading indicator that something has changed (velocity loss, command drift, batters adjusting). xwOBA measures contact quality (lower is better for the pitcher); whiff% and chase% are the swing-and-miss signals.

Pitch Usage Season Last 5
Whiff% Chase% Zone% xwOBA Whiff% Chase% Zone% xwOBA
FF
4-Seam Fastball · 121 pitches
 55.8% 3.0% 21.2% 38.0% 0.245 3.0% 21.2% 57.5% 0.102
SL
Slider · 56 pitches
 25.8% 25.0% 29.2% 35.7% 0.319 25.0% 29.2% 48.8% 0.161
FS
Splitter · 20 pitches
 9.2% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0% 0.764 0.0% 0.0% 33.3% 0.170
CU
Curveball · 17 pitches
 7.8% 27.3% 9.1% 76.5% 0.268 27.3% 9.1% 81.3% 0.034
SI
Sinker · 3 pitches
 1.4% 50.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.542 50.0% 0.0% 75.0% 0.136

Data via Ball Don't Lie. The "Last 5" column aggregates the player's 5 most recent outings.

Game log

full season · 7 games

Date Opp Result IP H R ER HR BB K GB FB P TBF DEC REL ERA
SEPTEMBER
Sun 9/13 vs PHI L 4-9 1.1 2 0 0 0 0 1 - - 20 6 - - 0.00
Wed 9/9 vs TB L 2-7 2.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 17 6 - - 0.00
SEPTEMBER Subtotal 3.1 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 37 12 - - 0.00
MAY
Tue 5/26 vs NYY L 1-15 2.1 9 7 7 3 0 0 - - 45 16 L - 30.00
Tue 5/19 vs BOS L 1-7 2.0 4 2 2 0 3 2 - - 39 12 L - 9.00
Sat 5/16 @ STL L 2-4 2.0 3 1 1 0 1 0 - - 28 9 - - 4.50
MAY Subtotal 6.1 16 10 10 3 4 2 0 0 112 37 - - 14.75
APRIL
Wed 4/1 vs MIN W 13-9 0.1 3 3 3 1 2 0 - - 20 6 - - 270.00
APRIL Subtotal 0.1 3 3 3 1 2 0 0 0 20 6 - - 270.00
MARCH
Fri 3/27 @ ATL L 0-6 3.0 5 2 2 0 0 4 - - 48 14 - - 6.00
MARCH Subtotal 3.0 5 2 2 0 0 4 0 0 48 14 - - 6.00
Season Totals 12.3 26 15 15 4 6 8 0 0 217 69 - - 10.98
BB: Walks allowed
DEC: Decision
ER: Earned runs
ERA: Earned run average for the appearance or subtotal
FB: Fly balls
GB: Ground balls
H: Hits allowed
HR: Home runs allowed
IP: Innings pitched
K: Strikeouts
P: Pitches
R: Runs allowed
REL: Relief outcome: save, hold, or blown save
TBF: Total batters faced

Team scoring environment

This connects the player page back to the team scoring profile, which matters when a player is being evaluated inside a moneyline or total bet.

Team recent scoring 4.0

2-3 in the latest stored sample.

Current runs allowed 4.0

Recent runs allowed with average margin +0.0.

Totals context 2-2

Average actual total 7.9 vs tracked 8.1.

Use this section together with the game log and trend chart on the page: a hot bat on a team scoring well is different from a hot bat inside a low-scoring team context, and the same idea applies to pitchers on teams playing high-total games.

Strikeout outlook today

Team game, player status, and recent strikeout form, all in one quick read.

Role Pitcher Position RP
Status Active Team Atlanta Braves (ATL)
Next game 2026-10-09 Opponent @ LAD
First pitch 8:00 PM Season type Postseason
Bats / Throws R/L Age 29

Bailey Falter's next team game is not on today's slate, so the value here is recent strikeout form and full game-log context. He has a 10.38 ERA and 2.46 WHIP across 7 appearances, while recent games around him have gone 2-2 to the total.

Open team page Team trends Line movement

Recent strikeout form vs season

The comparison below keeps strikeouts, innings, and run prevention tied back to the season baseline.

Last 5 vs season ERA -0.60

WHIP -0.07 vs season across 5 games.

Last 10 vs season ERA +0.59

WHIP +0.14 vs season across 7 games.

Home/road lean Better at home

Recent ERA split +15.92 comparing road to home.

Team environment Team total 7.9

Recent team scoring 4.0 with O/U 2-2 around this player.

Sample Games IPERAWHIPKBB
Last 5 5 9.2 9.78 2.39 4 4
Last 10 7 12.3 10.98 2.60 8 6
Season 7 13.0 10.38 2.46 8 6

Season stats

Games pitched7Games started2
Wins / Losses0 / 2Saves0
Innings pitched13.0Strikeouts8
ERA10.38WHIP2.46

Split watchlist

Bailey Falter's home/road splits this season: a 2.95 ERA across 3 home outings and 18.87 over 4 on the road.

This is the fastest way to compare home and road run prevention once both samples exist.

Split Games IPERAWHIPK
Home 3 6.1 2.95 1.15 6
Road 4 6.2 18.87 4.03 2

Bailey Falter — frequently asked questions

Quick answers to the most common 2026 questions about Bailey Falter, drawn from the stats and schedule on this page.

When does Bailey Falter play next?

Bailey Falter's next scheduled game is Oct 9, 2026 at LAD.

How many strikeouts per game does Bailey Falter average?

Bailey Falter is averaging 1.14 strikeouts per appearance in 2026 (8 strikeouts over 7 appearances).

What is Bailey Falter's ERA this season?

Bailey Falter has a 10.38 ERA and a 2.46 WHIP in 2026.

How many strikeouts did Bailey Falter have in his last game?

Bailey Falter recorded 1 strikeout in his most recent appearance on 2026-09-13.

How many strikeouts has Bailey Falter had over his last 5 games?

Bailey Falter has 4 strikeouts over his last 5 outings with a 9.78 ERA in that span.

What is Bailey Falter's strikeout rate (K/9)?

Bailey Falter is striking out 5.5 batters per nine innings in 2026.

How has Bailey Falter pitched at home vs on the road?

Bailey Falter has a 2.95 ERA at home and 18.87 on the road this season.

LAD lineup — bats he faces next start

The key matchups driving his next start’s strikeout and earned-run lines. Open a hitter for his splits and prop context.