A.J. Minter

Relief pitcher | Age 33 | Bats L · Throws L

A.J. Minter's 2026 MLB stats, pitching game log, and recent strikeout form for the Minnesota Twins. Through 48 appearances, A.J. Minter carries a 2.56 ERA with 41 strikeouts. He averages 0.9 strikeouts per outing (3 over his last 5), a 8.1 K/9. See last-game strikeouts, strikeouts-per-game pace, splits, and next-game context below.

AL Central standings

Over 5.5 strikeouts (standard line — nothing quoted yet)

A.J. Minter by game, in his last 10 games

48.7%calibrated projection
Outcomes
L5L10
One bar per game, most recent first
Last 10 rate0%0 of 10 games cleared
Calibrated model48.7%our projection for the standard line
Kalshi mid—no live price yet
0010222112
9/27vs TEX9/23@ SF9/22@ SF9/19@ LAA9/17@ LAA9/16vs NYY9/12vs CLE9/11vs CLE9/8@ DET9/5@ CHW

Where the outcomes landed

10 games · line at 5.5
303142+
Innings9.7
ERA3.72
K/910.2
Pitches14
Starts10

Recent-form percentages are not probabilities — the calibrated line is this site’s model projection, and the Kalshi line is what the exchange is paying. No book or exchange has quoted this game yet, so the projection runs against the standard 5.5 line these markets are normally posted at. Research only — not betting advice.

Betting Snapshot

the numbers that shape his prop lines

Through Sep 27, 2026
0straight starts with 6+ K
0consecutive quality starts
Prop metricLast 3Last 5Season
Strikeouts per start9.3 K/90.30.60.9
Walks per start0.00.00.2
Earned runs per start0.30.40.2
Innings per startavg IP · bar shows floor–ceiling range0.80.2–1.0
Home runs allowed0.30.40.2

Model lean vs the posted market — research only, not betting advice.

Strikeouts O/UOdds N/A
No line posted · proj 0.71
Walks O/UOdds N/A
No line posted · proj 0.07

Arsenal

Per-pitch-type usage and stuff metrics. Season aggregates beside the last 5 outings — divergence between the two columns is the leading indicator that something has changed (velocity loss, command drift, batters adjusting). xwOBA measures contact quality (lower is better for the pitcher); whiff% and chase% are the swing-and-miss signals.

Pitch Usage Season Last 5
Whiff% Chase% Zone% xwOBA Whiff% Chase% Zone% xwOBA
FC
Cutter · 366 pitches
55.2% 25.6% 28.6% 50.0% 0.283 28.6% 42.9% 42.3% 0.105
FF
4-Seam Fastball · 181 pitches
27.3% 19.8% 34.1% 45.3% 0.426 10.0% 30.0% 53.3% 0.501
CH
Changeup · 87 pitches
13.1% 19.1% 38.1% 39.1% 0.212 0.0% 0.0% 71.4% 0.294
SI
Sinker · 29 pitches
4.4% 8.3% 33.3% 58.6% 0.156 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 0.151

Data via Ball Don't Lie. The "Last 5" column aggregates the player's 5 most recent outings.

Game log

last 10 games · expand for the full season

Date Opp Result IP H R ER HR BB K GB FB P TBF DEC REL ERA
SEPTEMBER
Sun 9/27 vs TEX W 6-4 1.0 1 1 1 1 0 0 - - 9 4 - - 9.00
Wed 9/23 @ SF W 4-2 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 7 3 - HLD 0.00
Tue 9/22 @ SF W 3-2 0.2 1 0 0 0 0 1 - - 9 3 - HLD 0.00
Sat 9/19 @ LAA L 5-6 1.0 1 1 1 1 0 0 - - 8 4 - BS 9.00
Thu 9/17 @ LAA L 4-5 0.2 1 0 0 0 0 2 - - 14 3 - - 0.00
Wed 9/16 vs NYY W 5-4 1.0 2 0 0 0 1 2 - - 22 6 - HLD 0.00
Mon 9/14 vs NYY L 3-8 0.0 2 3 2 1 0 0 - - 18 3 - - -
Sat 9/12 vs CLE W 4-3 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - - 16 3 SV SV 0.00
Fri 9/11 vs CLE L 2-5 1.1 3 2 2 1 0 1 - - 17 7 - BS 16.36
Tue 9/8 @ DET W 3-2 1.1 0 0 0 0 1 1 - - 23 5 - HLD 0.00
Sat 9/5 @ CHW W 6-4 0.2 1 0 0 0 0 2 - - 18 3 - HLD 0.00
Wed 9/2 vs DET L 6-11 1.1 1 0 0 0 0 1 - - 17 5 - - 0.00
SEPTEMBER Subtotal 8.9 13 7 6 4 2 12 0 0 178 49 - - 6.07
AUGUST
Sat 8/29 vs CHW L 2-3 1.0 0 0 0 0 2 1 - - 20 5 - - 0.00
Tue 8/25 @ OAK L 2-4 1.1 0 0 0 0 0 2 - - 23 4 - - 0.00
Sat 8/22 @ SD L 5-7 0.2 1 0 0 0 0 1 - - 8 3 - HLD 0.00
Wed 8/19 vs ATL W 6-4 0.2 0 0 0 0 1 0 - - 16 3 W - 0.00
Tue 8/18 vs ATL W 4-1 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 6 3 - HLD 0.00
Sun 8/16 vs PHI L 5-7 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 14 3 - HLD 0.00
Sat 8/15 vs PHI L 1-9 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 - - 12 4 - - 0.00
Wed 8/12 vs BAL W 7-5 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - - 9 3 - HLD 0.00
Sun 8/9 @ MIL L 3-4 1.1 1 0 0 0 1 0 - - 16 6 - - 0.00
Fri 8/7 @ MIL W 8-6 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 3 1 - HLD 0.00
Wed 8/5 @ KC L 1-2 1.0 1 1 1 1 0 0 - - 12 4 L - 9.00
Sun 8/2 @ SEA L 6-7 1.0 2 0 0 0 0 1 - - 19 5 - - 0.00
Sat 8/1 @ SEA L 3-4 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 1 1 - - 0.00
AUGUST Subtotal 9.8 6 1 1 1 4 9 0 0 159 45 - - 0.92
JULY
Wed 7/29 vs ATL L 0-1 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - - 21 4 - - 0.00
Fri 7/24 vs LAD L 2-4 1.0 2 2 2 1 0 0 - - 12 5 - - 18.00
Wed 7/22 @ MIL L 3-4 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 1 - - 19 5 - - 0.00
Sun 7/19 @ PHI W 6-1 1.0 3 1 1 1 0 0 - - 14 5 - - 9.00
Sat 7/11 vs BOS L 0-4 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 2 - - 12 4 - - 0.00
Fri 7/10 vs BOS L 2-6 1.0 4 2 2 1 0 1 - - 26 7 - - 18.00
Tue 7/7 vs KC L 12-16 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - - 13 3 - - 0.00
Mon 7/6 @ ATL W 7-6 1.0 2 0 0 0 0 1 - - 16 5 - - 0.00
Fri 7/3 @ ATL L 3-5 1.0 1 1 1 1 0 0 - - 18 4 - - 9.00
Wed 7/1 @ TOR L 3-9 1.1 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 14 4 - - 0.00
JULY Subtotal 10.1 14 6 6 4 1 10 0 0 165 46 - - 5.35
JUNE
Sat 6/27 vs PHI W 6-2 1.2 1 0 0 0 0 1 - - 22 5 W - 0.00
Wed 6/24 vs CHC L 5-10 1.0 1 1 0 0 0 1 - - 19 5 - - 0.00
Tue 6/23 vs CHC L 6-9 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 - - 14 4 - - 0.00
Sun 6/21 @ PHI L 2-6 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 9 3 - - 0.00
Thu 6/18 @ PHI W 6-4 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 8 2 - HLD 0.00
Sun 6/14 vs ATL W 8-1 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - 4 2 - - 0.00
Thu 6/11 vs STL W 5-4 1.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 14 4 - - 0.00
Sun 6/7 @ SD W 7-3 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 - - 13 4 - - 0.00
Fri 6/5 @ SD W 5-0 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 14 4 - - 0.00
Tue 6/2 @ SEA L 3-8 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 1 - - 19 4 - - 0.00
Mon 6/1 @ SEA L 2-3 0.1 1 1 0 0 0 1 - - 9 2 L - 0.00
JUNE Subtotal 8.8 6 2 0 0 1 6 0 0 145 39 - - 0.00
MAY
Fri 5/29 vs MIA W 9-7 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - - 14 3 - - 0.00
Tue 5/26 vs CIN L 2-7 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 2 - - 16 4 - - 0.00
MAY Subtotal 2.0 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 30 7 - - 0.00
Season Totals 39.6 40 16 13 9 8 41 0 0 677 186 - - 2.95
BB: Walks allowed
DEC: Decision
ER: Earned runs
ERA: Earned run average for the appearance or subtotal
FB: Fly balls
GB: Ground balls
H: Hits allowed
HR: Home runs allowed
IP: Innings pitched
K: Strikeouts
P: Pitches
R: Runs allowed
REL: Relief outcome: save, hold, or blown save
TBF: Total batters faced

Team scoring environment

This connects the player page back to the team scoring profile, which matters when a player is being evaluated inside a moneyline or total bet.

Team recent scoring 5.0

4-1 in the latest stored sample.

Current runs allowed 3.2

Recent runs allowed with average margin +1.8.

Totals context 2-2

Average actual total 7.9 vs tracked 7.6.

Use this section together with the game log and trend chart on the page: a hot bat on a team scoring well is different from a hot bat inside a low-scoring team context, and the same idea applies to pitchers on teams playing high-total games.

Strikeout outlook today

Team game, player status, and recent strikeout form, all in one quick read.

Role Pitcher Position RP
Status Active Team Minnesota Twins (MIN)
First pitch - Season type Season
Bats / Throws L/L Age 33

A.J. Minter's next team game is not on today's slate, so the value here is recent strikeout form and full game-log context. He has a 2.56 ERA and 1.05 WHIP across 48 appearances, while recent games around him have gone 2-2 to the total.

Recent strikeout form vs season

The comparison below keeps strikeouts, innings, and run prevention tied back to the season baseline.

Last 5 vs season ERA +2.73

WHIP +0.13 vs season across 5 games.

Last 10 vs season ERA +4.54

WHIP +0.66 vs season across 10 games.

Home/road lean Better on road

Recent ERA split -1.86 comparing road to home.

Team environment Team total 7.9

Recent team scoring 5.0 with O/U 2-2 around this player.

Sample Games IPERAWHIPKBB
Last 5 5 3.4 5.29 1.18 3 0
Last 10 10 7.6 7.11 1.71 9 2
Season 48 45.2 2.56 1.05 41 8

Season stats

Games pitched48Games started0
Wins / Losses2 / 2Saves1
Innings pitched45.2Strikeouts41
ERA2.56WHIP1.05

Split watchlist

A.J. Minter's home/road splits this season: a 4.33 ERA across 12 home outings and 2.47 over 36 on the road.

This is the fastest way to compare home and road run prevention once both samples exist.

Split Games IPERAWHIPK
Home 12 10.4 4.33 1.35 10
Road 36 29.2 2.47 1.16 31

A.J. Minter — frequently asked questions

Quick answers to the most common 2026 questions about A.J. Minter, drawn from the stats and schedule on this page.

How many strikeouts per game does A.J. Minter average?

A.J. Minter is averaging 0.85 strikeouts per appearance in 2026 (41 strikeouts over 48 appearances).

What is A.J. Minter's ERA this season?

A.J. Minter has a 2.56 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP in 2026.

How many strikeouts did A.J. Minter have in his last game?

A.J. Minter recorded 0 strikeouts in his most recent appearance on 2026-09-27.

How many strikeouts has A.J. Minter had over his last 5 games?

A.J. Minter has 3 strikeouts over his last 5 outings with a 5.29 ERA in that span.

What is A.J. Minter's strikeout rate (K/9)?

A.J. Minter is striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings in 2026.

How has A.J. Minter pitched at home vs on the road?

A.J. Minter has a 4.33 ERA at home and 2.47 on the road this season.